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SMU Mustangs

SMU Mustangs

ACCP4

2025-26 drought profile · 33 games played · 19-14 (58%)

SMU Mustangs ranks 5th of 18 ACC teams in droughts per game (1.06 dpg, below the ACC average of 1.30). Their droughts average 3:41 (0:06 below the ACC norm) and have allowed opponents an average of 7.0 pts per drought, contributing to 9 influenced losses (2 decisive/major) in 2025-26.

Drought profile

1.06

Droughts/game

Conf avg: 1.3 · #5 of 18 in ACC

5th in ACC

-0.24/game vs ACC avg

#5 in ACC (18 teams)

3:41

Avg duration

Conf avg: 3:47 · #4 of 18 in ACC

-0:06 vs ACC avg

How long cold streaks typically last

7.0

Avg drought cost

Conf avg: 7.0 · #10 of 18 in ACC

-0.0 pts vs ACC avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game impact

9

Influenced losses

2 decisive/major: close losses where droughts swung the margin

46%

Timeout rate

Coach called a timeout in 16 of 35 droughts

3-8

Record w/ 2+ droughts

vs 16-6 in games with 0 to 1 droughts

Drought trend, 2025-26

Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.1 droughts/game.

When droughts happen

Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 35 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.

Half breakdown

1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?

1st half
23
droughts · avg 3:42
2nd half
12
droughts · avg 3:38

Drought cost by severity

How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points. See if critical ones truly hurt more.

Notable (3–4 min)
27
77% of droughts
6.5 pts drought cost
Significant (4–5 min)
5
14% of droughts
8.6 pts drought cost
Critical (5+ min)
3
9% of droughts
9.3 pts drought cost

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6.5 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
8.6 pts
Critical (5+ min)
9.3 pts

Key takeaway

Critical droughts allow 43% more points than notable ones (9.3 vs 6.5 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-ending shots

What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.

3-PT(23%)2-PT(71%)FT(6%)
3-pointer (8, 23%)2-pointer (25, 71%)FT (2, 6%)

Score differential by game

Every game plotted over 40 minutes: positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.

Mar 18
Miami (OH) RedHawksvs Miami (OH) RedHawks
L 79–89
Mar 11
Louisville Cardinals@ Louisville Cardinals
L 58–62
Mar 10
Syracuse Orangevs Syracuse Orange
W 86–69
Mar 7
Florida State Seminoles@ Florida State Seminoles
L 78–91
Mar 4
Miami Hurricanesvs Miami Hurricanes
L 69–77
Feb 28
Stanford Cardinal@ Stanford Cardinal
L 75–95
Feb 25
California Golden Bears@ California Golden Bears
L 56–59
Feb 21
Boston College Eaglesvs Boston College Eagles
W 94–70
Feb 17
Louisville Cardinalsvs Louisville Cardinals
W 95–85
Feb 14
Syracuse Orange@ Syracuse Orange
L 78–79
Feb 10
Notre Dame Fighting Irishvs Notre Dame Fighting Irish
W 89–81
Feb 7
Pittsburgh Panthers@ Pittsburgh Panthers
W 86–67
Feb 3
NC State Wolfpackvs NC State Wolfpack
L 83–84
Jan 31
Louisville Cardinals@ Louisville Cardinals
L 74–88
Jan 24
Florida State Seminolesvs Florida State Seminoles
W 83–80
Jan 20
Wake Forest Demon Deacons@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons
W 91–79
Jan 17
Virginia Cavaliersvs Virginia Cavaliers
L 68–72
Jan 14
Virginia Tech Hokiesvs Virginia Tech Hokies
W 77–76
Jan 10
Duke Blue Devils@ Duke Blue Devils
L 75–82
Jan 7
Clemson Tigers@ Clemson Tigers
L 70–74
Jan 3
North Carolina Tar Heelsvs North Carolina Tar Heels
W 97–83
Dec 28
Cal State Fullerton Titansvs Cal State Fullerton Titans
W 110–63
Dec 21
Central Arkansas Bearsvs Central Arkansas Bears
W 99–82
Dec 13
LSU Tigers@ LSU Tigers
L 77–89
Dec 7
Texas A&M Aggiesvs Texas A&M Aggies
W 93–80
Dec 3
Vanderbilt Commodores@ Vanderbilt Commodores
L 69–88
Nov 28
Mississippi State Bulldogs@ Mississippi State Bulldogs
W 87–81
Nov 24
Radford Highlandersvs Radford Highlanders
W 89–72
Nov 21
Arkansas State Red Wolvesvs Arkansas State Red Wolves
W 100–69
Nov 18
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsvs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
W 106–60
Nov 15
Butler Bulldogsvs Butler Bulldogs
W 87–85
Nov 11
Murray State Racersvs Murray State Racers
W 102–91
Nov 6
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islandersvs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders
W 69–58
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →

Game log

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 18Miami (OH) RedHawksvs Miami (OH) RedHawksL 79-89
3
Mar 11Louisville Cardinals@ Louisville CardinalsL 62-58
2
Mar 10Syracuse Orangevs Syracuse OrangeW 86-69
1
Mar 7Florida State Seminoles@ Florida State SeminolesL 91-78
3
Mar 4Miami Hurricanesvs Miami HurricanesL 69-77
1
Feb 28Stanford Cardinal@ Stanford CardinalL 95-75
2
Feb 25California Golden Bears@ California Golden BearsL 59-560
Feb 21Boston College Eaglesvs Boston College EaglesW 94-70
1
Feb 17Louisville Cardinalsvs Louisville CardinalsW 95-850
Feb 14Syracuse Orange@ Syracuse OrangeL 79-780
Feb 10Notre Dame Fighting Irishvs Notre Dame Fighting IrishW 89-81
2
Feb 7Pittsburgh Panthers@ Pittsburgh PanthersW 67-86
1
Feb 3NC State Wolfpackvs NC State WolfpackL 83-84
2
Jan 31Louisville Cardinals@ Louisville CardinalsL 88-74
2
Jan 24Florida State Seminolesvs Florida State SeminolesW 83-80
2
Jan 20Wake Forest Demon Deacons@ Wake Forest Demon DeaconsW 79-91
1
Jan 17Virginia Cavaliersvs Virginia CavaliersL 68-72
2
Jan 14Virginia Tech Hokiesvs Virginia Tech HokiesW 77-760
Jan 10Duke Blue Devils@ Duke Blue DevilsL 82-75
1
Jan 7Clemson Tigers@ Clemson TigersL 74-70
2
Jan 3North Carolina Tar Heelsvs North Carolina Tar HeelsW 97-830
Dec 28Cal State Fullerton Titansvs Cal State Fullerton TitansW 110-630
Dec 21Central Arkansas Bearsvs Central Arkansas BearsW 99-820
Dec 13LSU Tigers@ LSU TigersL 89-77
1
Dec 7Texas A&M Aggiesvs Texas A&M AggiesW 93-80
1
Dec 3Vanderbilt Commodores@ Vanderbilt CommodoresL 88-69
1
Nov 28Mississippi State Bulldogs@ Mississippi State BulldogsW 81-870
Nov 24Radford Highlandersvs Radford HighlandersW 89-72
1
Nov 21Arkansas State Red Wolvesvs Arkansas State Red WolvesW 100-690
Nov 18Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsvs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden LionsW 106-60
1
Nov 15Butler Bulldogsvs Butler BulldogsW 87-850
Nov 11Murray State Racersvs Murray State RacersW 102-910
Nov 6Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islandersvs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi IslandersW 69-58
2

Drought-influenced losses

Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Drought cost" = points the opponent scores during a drought.

26 pts allowed during 3 droughts (29.2% of 10-pt margin)
Major Factor
24 pts allowed during 3 droughts (26.4% of 13-pt margin)
Major Factor
Clemson Tigers@ Clemson TigersL 70-74Jan 7
14 pts allowed during 2 droughts (18.9% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor
13 pts allowed during 2 droughts (14.8% of 14-pt margin)
Significant Factor
12 pts allowed during 2 droughts (14.3% of 1-pt margin)
Significant Factor
12 pts allowed during 1 drought (15.6% of 8-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Duke Blue Devils@ Duke Blue DevilsL 75-82Jan 10
10 pts allowed during 1 drought (12.2% of 7-pt margin)
Significant Factor
LSU Tigers@ LSU TigersL 77-89Dec 13
9 pts allowed during 1 drought (10.1% of 12-pt margin)
Minor Factor
9 pts allowed during 2 droughts (12.5% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor

Drought killers

Players who most often ended SMU Mustangs scoring droughts in 2025-26.

1
SY
Samet Yigitoglu
33% clutchⓘ
9
2
BM
Boopie Miller
57% clutchⓘ
7
3
JJ
Jaron Pierre Jr.
33% clutchⓘ
6
4
CW
Corey Washington
20% clutchⓘ
5
5
BE
B.J. Edwards
33% clutchⓘ
3
6
JT
Jaden Toombs
2
7
SW
Sam Walters
2
3PT
2PT
FT