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Tuesday, February 3, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

SMU Mustangs

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~10→12

+2

NC State Wolfpack

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 7 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ No drought, as expected

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts ceded

~7→0

-7

SMU Mustangs averages 1 droughts/game  · NC State Wolfpack forces 2 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

SMU Mustangs droughts

0

NC State Wolfpack droughts

3:15

Longest drought

SMU Mustangs

12

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

SMU Mustangs drought cost

2 droughts • 12 pts drought cost

12

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
SMU Mustangs

SMU Mustangs

2
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 60 → 62 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Boopie Miller makes driving layup (Samet Yigitoglu assists)

2-Pointer

3:15

9.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 7 → 10 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: B.J. Edwards makes 25-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

3:00

3.0 pts

NC State Wolfpack

NC State Wolfpack

0

No notable droughts