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NC State Wolfpack

NC State Wolfpack

ACCP4

2025-26 Drought Profile · 17 games played · 18-13 (58%)

NC State Wolfpack ranks 2nd of 18 ACC teams in droughts per game (1.47 dpg, below the ACC average of 1.81). Their droughts average 3:49 — near the ACC norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 8.2 pts per drought, contributing to 6 influenced losses this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.47

Conf avg: 1.8 · #2 of 18 in ACC

2nd in ACC

-0.34/game vs ACC avg

#2 in ACC (18 teams)

Avg Duration

3:49

Conf avg: 226.6 · #10 of 18 in ACC

+0:02 vs ACC avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

8.2

Conf avg: 7.0 · #18 of 18 in ACC

+1.3 pts vs ACC avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

6

0 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

24%

Coach called a timeout in 6 of 25 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

2-5

vs 16-8 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.5 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 25 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
15
droughts · avg 3:56
2nd Half
10
droughts · avg 3:37
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
16
64% of droughts
7.6 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
8
32% of droughts
9.1 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
1
4% of droughts
12 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
7.6 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
9.1 pts
Critical (5+ min)
12 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 58% more points than notable ones (12 vs 7.6 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(28%)2-PT(56%)FT(16%)
3-Ptr (7, 28%)2-Ptr (14, 56%)FT (4, 16%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 12
Virginia Cavaliers@ Virginia Cavaliers
L 74–81
Mar 11
Pittsburgh Panthersvs Pittsburgh Panthers
W 98–88
Mar 7
Stanford Cardinalvs Stanford Cardinal
L 84–85
Mar 2
Duke Blue Devilsvs Duke Blue Devils
L 64–93
Feb 28
Notre Dame Fighting Irish@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
L 90–96
Feb 24
Virginia Cavaliers@ Virginia Cavaliers
L 61–90
Feb 17
North Carolina Tar Heelsvs North Carolina Tar Heels
W 82–58
Feb 14
Miami Hurricanesvs Miami Hurricanes
L 76–77
Feb 9
Louisville Cardinals@ Louisville Cardinals
L 77–118
Feb 7
Virginia Tech Hokiesvs Virginia Tech Hokies
W 82–73
Feb 3
SMU Mustangs@ SMU Mustangs
W 84–83
Jan 31
Wake Forest Demon Deacons@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons
W 96–78
Jan 27
Syracuse Orangevs Syracuse Orange
W 88–68
Jan 24
Pittsburgh Panthers@ Pittsburgh Panthers
W 81–72
Jan 20
Clemson Tigers@ Clemson Tigers
W 80–76
Jan 17
Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsvs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
L 74–78
Jan 10
Florida State Seminoles@ Florida State Seminoles
W 113–69
Jan 6
Boston College Eagles@ Boston College Eagles
W 79–71
Jan 3
Virginia Cavaliersvs Virginia Cavaliers
L 61–76
Dec 31
Wake Forest Demon Deaconsvs Wake Forest Demon Deacons
W 70–57
Dec 21
Ole Miss Rebelsvs Ole Miss Rebels
W 76–62
Dec 17
Texas Southern Tigersvs Texas Southern Tigers
W 108–72
Dec 13
Kansas Jayhawksvs Kansas Jayhawks
L 76–77
Dec 10
Liberty Flamesvs Liberty Flames
W 85–45
Dec 6
UNC Asheville Bulldogsvs UNC Asheville Bulldogs
W 75–63
Dec 3
Auburn Tigers@ Auburn Tigers
L 73–83
Nov 26
Texas Longhorns@ Texas Longhorns
L 97–102
Nov 25
Boise State Broncos@ Boise State Broncos
W 81–70
Nov 24
Seton Hall Piratesvs Seton Hall Pirates
L 74–85
Nov 17
VCU Ramsvs VCU Rams
W 85–79
Nov 12
UNC Greensboro Spartansvs UNC Greensboro Spartans
W 110–64
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 12Virginia Cavaliers@ Virginia CavaliersL 81-74
1
Mar 11Pittsburgh Panthersvs Pittsburgh PanthersW 98-88
1
Mar 7Stanford Cardinalvs Stanford CardinalL 84-85
1
Mar 2Duke Blue Devilsvs Duke Blue DevilsL 64-93
3
Feb 28Notre Dame Fighting Irish@ Notre Dame Fighting IrishL 96-900
Feb 24Virginia Cavaliers@ Virginia CavaliersL 90-61
2
Feb 17North Carolina Tar Heelsvs North Carolina Tar HeelsW 82-58
1
Feb 14Miami Hurricanesvs Miami HurricanesL 76-770
Feb 9Louisville Cardinals@ Louisville CardinalsL 118-770
Feb 7Virginia Tech Hokiesvs Virginia Tech HokiesW 82-73
2
Feb 3SMU Mustangs@ SMU MustangsW 83-840
Jan 31Wake Forest Demon Deacons@ Wake Forest Demon DeaconsW 78-960
Jan 27Syracuse Orangevs Syracuse OrangeW 88-68
1
Jan 24Pittsburgh Panthers@ Pittsburgh PanthersW 72-810
Jan 20Clemson Tigers@ Clemson TigersW 76-80
1
Jan 17Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsvs Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsL 74-78
2
Jan 10Florida State Seminoles@ Florida State SeminolesW 69-1130
Jan 6Boston College Eagles@ Boston College EaglesW 71-790
Jan 3Virginia Cavaliersvs Virginia CavaliersL 61-76
1
Dec 31Wake Forest Demon Deaconsvs Wake Forest Demon DeaconsW 70-570
Dec 21Ole Miss Rebelsvs Ole Miss RebelsW 76-62
2
Dec 17Texas Southern Tigersvs Texas Southern TigersW 108-720
Dec 13Kansas Jayhawksvs Kansas JayhawksL 76-77
2
Dec 10Liberty Flamesvs Liberty FlamesW 85-45
1
Dec 6UNC Asheville Bulldogsvs UNC Asheville BulldogsW 75-630
Dec 3Auburn Tigers@ Auburn TigersL 83-730
Nov 26Texas Longhorns@ Texas LonghornsL 102-970
Nov 25Boise State Broncos@ Boise State BroncosW 70-81
1
Nov 24Seton Hall Piratesvs Seton Hall PiratesL 74-85
2
Nov 17VCU Ramsvs VCU RamsW 85-790
Nov 12UNC Greensboro Spartansvs UNC Greensboro SpartansW 110-64
1
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsvs Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsL 74-78Jan 17
19 pts allowed during 2 droughts (24.4% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Seton Hall Piratesvs Seton Hall PiratesL 74-85Nov 24
17 pts allowed during 2 droughts (20% of 11-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Kansas Jayhawksvs Kansas JayhawksL 76-77Dec 13
14 pts allowed during 2 droughts (18.2% of 1-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Virginia Cavaliersvs Virginia CavaliersL 61-76Jan 3
10 pts allowed during 1 drought (13.2% of 15-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Stanford Cardinalvs Stanford CardinalL 84-85Mar 7
9 pts allowed during 1 drought (10.6% of 1-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Virginia Cavaliers@ Virginia CavaliersL 74-81Mar 12
9 pts allowed during 1 drought (11.1% of 7-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended NC State Wolfpack scoring droughts this season.
1
QC
Quadir Copeland
56% clutchⓘ
9
2
PJ
Paul McNeil Jr.
20% clutchⓘ
5
3
DW
Darrion Williams
0% clutchⓘ
3
4
MA
Matt Able
33% clutchⓘ
3
5
VL
Ven-Allen Lubin
2
3PT
2PT
FT