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Wednesday, December 10, 2025

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

NC State Wolfpack

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~8→4

-4

Liberty Flames

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:49

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→4

+2

Pts ceded

~14→34

+20

NC State Wolfpack averages 1 droughts/game  · Liberty Flames forces 2 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

NC State Wolfpack droughts

4

Liberty Flames droughts

4:58

Longest drought

Liberty Flames

38

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Liberty Flames drought cost

4 droughts • 34 pts drought cost

34

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

NC State Wolfpack drought cost

1 drought • 4 pts drought cost

4

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
NC State Wolfpack

NC State Wolfpack

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 64 → 67 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Quadir Copeland made Three Point Jumper.

3-Pointer

3:12

4.0 pts

Liberty Flames

Liberty Flames

4
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 6 → 9 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Colin Porter made Three Point Jumper. Assisted by Zach Cleveland.

3-Pointer

4:58

12.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 20 → 22 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: JJ Harper made Layup. Assisted by Kaden Metheny.

2-Pointer

3:49

12.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 11 → 13 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: JJ Harper made Layup. Assisted by Zander Yates.

2-Pointer

3:34

6.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 22 → 24 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Colin Porter made Layup.

2-Pointer

3:06

4.0 pts