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Liberty Flames

Liberty Flames

Conference USAG5

2025-26 Drought Profile · 27 games played · 25-8 (76%)

Liberty Flames ranks 7th of 12 Conference USA teams in droughts per game (1.85 dpg, below the Conference USA average of 1.88). Their droughts average 3:49 — near the Conference USA norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 7.4 pts per drought, contributing to 6 influenced losses (3 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.85

Conf avg: 1.9 · #7 of 12 in Conference USA

7th in Conference USA

-0.03/game vs Conference USA avg

#7 in Conference USA (12 teams)

Avg Duration

3:49

Conf avg: 232.7 · #5 of 12 in Conference USA

-0:04 vs Conference USA avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

7.4

Conf avg: 7.1 · #10 of 12 in Conference USA

+0.3 pts vs Conference USA avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

6

3 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

14%

Coach called a timeout in 7 of 50 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

9-7

vs 16-1 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.9 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 50 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
30
droughts · avg 3:49
2nd Half
20
droughts · avg 3:49
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
36
72% of droughts
6.5 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
11
22% of droughts
9.6 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
3
6% of droughts
9.7 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6.5 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
9.6 pts
Critical (5+ min)
9.7 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 49% more points than notable ones (9.7 vs 6.5 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(26%)2-PT(48%)FT(26%)
3-Ptr (13, 26%)2-Ptr (24, 48%)FT (13, 26%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 21
Nevada Wolf Pack@ Nevada Wolf Pack
L 63–73
Mar 17
George Mason Patriots@ George Mason Patriots
W 77–71
Mar 11
Missouri State Bearsvs Missouri State Bears
L 69–77
Mar 7
Sam Houston Bearkatsvs Sam Houston Bearkats
W 79–72
Mar 5
Louisiana Tech Bulldogsvs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
L 71–76
Feb 28
Jacksonville State Gamecocks@ Jacksonville State Gamecocks
W 81–78
Feb 26
Kennesaw State Owls@ Kennesaw State Owls
L 65–74
Feb 21
Western Kentucky Hilltoppersvs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
L 73–94
Feb 19
Florida International Panthersvs Florida International Panthers
W 90–89
Feb 14
UTEP Miners@ UTEP Miners
W 73–64
Feb 11
New Mexico State Aggies@ New Mexico State Aggies
W 77–75
Feb 7
Missouri State Bearsvs Missouri State Bears
W 79–76
Feb 4
Delaware Blue Hens@ Delaware Blue Hens
W 75–69
Jan 29
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders@ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
W 81–65
Jan 24
Delaware Blue Hensvs Delaware Blue Hens
W 67–51
Jan 21
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
W 76–69
Jan 17
UTEP Minersvs UTEP Miners
W 80–69
Jan 15
New Mexico State Aggiesvs New Mexico State Aggies
W 73–71
Jan 10
Sam Houston Bearkats@ Sam Houston Bearkats
W 82–74
Jan 8
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
W 72–56
Jan 4
Jacksonville State Gamecocksvs Jacksonville State Gamecocks
W 78–69
Jan 2
Kennesaw State Owlsvs Kennesaw State Owls
W 81–73
Dec 28
Florida International Panthers@ Florida International Panthers
W 97–94
Dec 20
Dayton Flyers@ Dayton Flyers
W 64–61
Dec 16
vs Midway University Eagles
W 95–57
Dec 10
NC State Wolfpack@ NC State Wolfpack
L 45–85
Dec 6
Coppin State Eaglesvs Coppin State Eagles
W 92–50
Nov 26
Bradley Braves@ Bradley Braves
L 64–74
Nov 25
Towson Tigersvs Towson Tigers
L 69–72
Nov 24
Vermont Catamounts@ Vermont Catamounts
W 79–73
Nov 17
vs Carolina University Bruins
W 98–46
Nov 9
Florida Atlantic Owlsvs Florida Atlantic Owls
W 88–68
Nov 7
Charleston Cougarsvs Charleston Cougars
W 90–75
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 21Nevada Wolf Pack@ Nevada Wolf PackL 73-63
3
Mar 17George Mason Patriots@ George Mason PatriotsW 71-77
1
Mar 11Missouri State Bearsvs Missouri State BearsL 69-77
3
Mar 7Sam Houston Bearkatsvs Sam Houston BearkatsW 79-72
1
Mar 5Louisiana Tech Bulldogsvs Louisiana Tech BulldogsL 71-76
2
Feb 28Jacksonville State Gamecocks@ Jacksonville State GamecocksW 78-81
2
Feb 26Kennesaw State Owls@ Kennesaw State OwlsL 74-65
2
Feb 21Western Kentucky Hilltoppersvs Western Kentucky HilltoppersL 73-940
Feb 19Florida International Panthersvs Florida International PanthersW 90-89
2
Feb 14UTEP Miners@ UTEP MinersW 64-73
1
Feb 11New Mexico State Aggies@ New Mexico State AggiesW 75-77
3
Feb 7Missouri State Bearsvs Missouri State BearsW 79-76
1
Feb 4Delaware Blue Hens@ Delaware Blue HensW 69-75
2
Jan 29Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders@ Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersW 65-810
Jan 24Delaware Blue Hensvs Delaware Blue HensW 67-51
1
Jan 21Western Kentucky Hilltoppers@ Western Kentucky HilltoppersW 69-76
2
Jan 17UTEP Minersvs UTEP MinersW 80-690
Jan 15New Mexico State Aggiesvs New Mexico State AggiesW 73-71
1
Jan 10Sam Houston Bearkats@ Sam Houston BearkatsW 74-82
1
Jan 8Louisiana Tech Bulldogs@ Louisiana Tech BulldogsW 56-72
3
Jan 4Jacksonville State Gamecocksvs Jacksonville State GamecocksW 78-69
2
Jan 2Kennesaw State Owlsvs Kennesaw State OwlsW 81-73
2
Dec 28Florida International Panthers@ Florida International PanthersW 94-970
Dec 20Dayton Flyers@ Dayton FlyersW 61-64
2
Dec 16vs Midway University EaglesW 95-570
Dec 10NC State Wolfpack@ NC State WolfpackL 85-45
4
Dec 6Coppin State Eaglesvs Coppin State EaglesW 92-50
1
Nov 26Bradley Braves@ Bradley BravesL 74-64
3
Nov 25Towson Tigersvs Towson TigersL 69-72
2
Nov 24Vermont Catamounts@ Vermont CatamountsW 73-79
1
Nov 17vs Carolina University BruinsW 98-460
Nov 9Florida Atlantic Owlsvs Florida Atlantic OwlsW 88-68
1
Nov 7Charleston Cougarsvs Charleston CougarsW 90-75
1
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
Missouri State Bearsvs Missouri State BearsL 69-77Mar 11
27 pts allowed during 3 droughts (35.1% of 8-pt margin)
Major Factor
Bradley Braves@ Bradley BravesL 64-74Nov 26
26 pts allowed during 3 droughts (35.1% of 10-pt margin)
Major Factor
Nevada Wolf Pack@ Nevada Wolf PackL 63-73Mar 21
22 pts allowed during 3 droughts (30.1% of 10-pt margin)
Major Factor
Kennesaw State Owls@ Kennesaw State OwlsL 65-74Feb 26
15 pts allowed during 2 droughts (20.3% of 9-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Towson Tigersvs Towson TigersL 69-72Nov 25
14 pts allowed during 2 droughts (19.4% of 3-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Louisiana Tech Bulldogsvs Louisiana Tech BulldogsL 71-76Mar 5
14 pts allowed during 2 droughts (18.4% of 5-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Liberty Flames scoring droughts this season.
1
JH
JJ Harper
42% clutchⓘ
12
2
BJ
Brett Decker Jr.
36% clutchⓘ
11
3
CP
Colin Porter
33% clutchⓘ
9
4
ZC
Zach Cleveland
67% clutchⓘ
6
5
JS
Josh Smith
40% clutchⓘ
5
6
KM
Kaden Metheny
25% clutchⓘ
4
3PT
2PT
FT