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Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

New Mexico State Aggies

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~12→18

+6

Liberty Flames

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:49

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~15→20

+5

New Mexico State Aggies averages 1 droughts/game  · Liberty Flames forces 2 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

New Mexico State Aggies droughts

3

Liberty Flames droughts

4:23

Longest drought

New Mexico State Aggies

38

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Liberty Flames drought cost

3 droughts • 20 pts drought cost

20

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

New Mexico State Aggies drought cost

2 droughts • 18 pts drought cost

18

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
New Mexico State Aggies

New Mexico State Aggies

2
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 15 → 16 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Jayland Randall makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:23

6.0 pts

1H → 2HnotableTO called

Score: 32 → 35 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Chris Terrell makes 26-foot three point jumper (Jayland Randall assists)

3-Pointer

3:42

12.0 pts

Liberty Flames

Liberty Flames

3
1st Halfnotable

Score: 20 → 22 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: JJ Harper makes layup (Zach Cleveland assists)

2-Pointer

3:57

9.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 56 → 59 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Colin Porter makes 24-foot three point jumper (JJ Harper assists)

3-Pointer

3:24

5.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 30 → 32 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Brett Decker Jr. makes layup (Zach Cleveland assists)

2-Pointer

3:11

6.0 pts