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Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

New Mexico State Aggies

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~1518

+3

Liberty Flames

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final Results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~23

+1

Pts Ceded

~1820

+2

New Mexico State Aggies averages 2 droughts/game  · Liberty Flames forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

5

Both teams combined

New Mexico State Aggies Droughts

2

Liberty Flames Droughts

3

Longest Drought

4:23

New Mexico State Aggies

Drought Point Swing

38

Total unanswered points during droughts

Liberty Flames Drought Impact

3 droughts20 unanswered points allowed

20.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

2 droughts18 unanswered points allowed

18.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
New Mexico State Aggies

New Mexico State Aggies

2
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 1516 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Jayland Randall makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:23

14.2 opp pts

1H → 2HnotableTO called

Score: 3235 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Chris Terrell makes 26-foot three point jumper (Jayland Randall assists)

3-Pointer

3:42

18.9 opp pts

Liberty Flames

Liberty Flames

3
1st Halfnotable

Score: 2022 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: JJ Harper makes layup (Zach Cleveland assists)

2-Pointer

3:57

16.6 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 5659 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Colin Porter makes 24-foot three point jumper (JJ Harper assists)

3-Pointer

3:24

11.5 opp pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 3032 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Brett Decker Jr. makes layup (Zach Cleveland assists)

2-Pointer

3:11

12.1 opp pts