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New Mexico State Aggies

New Mexico State Aggies

Conference USAG5

2025-26 Drought Profile · 26 games played · 16-15 (52%)

New Mexico State Aggies ranks 5th of 12 Conference USA teams in droughts per game (1.73 dpg, below the Conference USA average of 1.89). Their droughts average 3:51 — near the Conference USA norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 7.2 pts per drought, contributing to 9 influenced losses (3 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.73

Conf avg: 1.9 · #5 of 12 in Conference USA

5th in Conference USA

-0.16/game vs Conference USA avg

#5 in Conference USA (12 teams)

Avg Duration

3:51

Conf avg: 232.8 · #5 of 12 in Conference USA

-0:03 vs Conference USA avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

7.2

Conf avg: 7.1 · #6 of 12 in Conference USA

+0.1 pts vs Conference USA avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

9

3 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

29%

Coach called a timeout in 13 of 45 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

7-8

vs 9-7 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.7 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 45 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
35
droughts · avg 3:54
2nd Half
10
droughts · avg 3:39
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
33
73% of droughts
6.8 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
9
20% of droughts
6.6 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
3
7% of droughts
13.3 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6.8 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
6.6 pts
Critical (5+ min)
13.3 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 102% more points than significant ones (13.3 vs 6.6 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(18%)2-PT(44%)FT(38%)
3-Ptr (8, 18%)2-Ptr (20, 44%)FT (17, 38%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 11
Sam Houston Bearkats@ Sam Houston Bearkats
L 61–69
Mar 10
Jacksonville State Gamecocks@ Jacksonville State Gamecocks
W 68–63
Mar 7
Kennesaw State Owlsvs Kennesaw State Owls
W 79–76
Mar 5
Jacksonville State Gamecocksvs Jacksonville State Gamecocks
W 77–75
Feb 28
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders@ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
L 85–86
Feb 26
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
L 70–93
Feb 21
UTEP Minersvs UTEP Miners
W 67–63
Feb 14
Jacksonville State Gamecocks@ Jacksonville State Gamecocks
W 79–70
Feb 11
Liberty Flamesvs Liberty Flames
L 75–77
Feb 7
UTEP Miners@ UTEP Miners
L 88–91
Feb 4
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
W 72–63
Jan 31
Kennesaw State Owls@ Kennesaw State Owls
L 53–76
Jan 28
Delaware Blue Hensvs Delaware Blue Hens
L 64–73
Jan 24
Florida International Panthersvs Florida International Panthers
L 78–81
Jan 22
Missouri State Bearsvs Missouri State Bears
L 75–84
Jan 17
Delaware Blue Hens@ Delaware Blue Hens
W 97–68
Jan 15
Liberty Flames@ Liberty Flames
L 71–73
Jan 10
Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersvs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
L 55–59
Jan 8
Western Kentucky Hilltoppersvs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
W 80–64
Jan 4
Missouri State Bears@ Missouri State Bears
L 82–89
Jan 2
Florida International Panthers@ Florida International Panthers
L 74–89
Dec 28
vs University of The Southwest Mustangs
W 104–33
Dec 21
Sam Houston Bearkatsvs Sam Houston Bearkats
W 87–78
Dec 6
Abilene Christian Wildcats@ Abilene Christian Wildcats
L 69–77
Dec 2
South Alabama Jaguars@ South Alabama Jaguars
L 75–77
Nov 26
Georgia State Panthersvs Georgia State Panthers
W 77–58
Nov 25
UC Irvine Anteaters@ UC Irvine Anteaters
W 57–45
Nov 21
Samford Bulldogsvs Samford Bulldogs
W 81–72
Nov 15
New Mexico Lobosvs New Mexico Lobos
W 76–68
Nov 11
vs New Mexico Highlands Cowboys
W 74–58
Nov 4
vs Adams State Grizzlies
W 83–72
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 11Sam Houston Bearkats@ Sam Houston BearkatsL 69-61
3
Mar 10Jacksonville State Gamecocks@ Jacksonville State GamecocksW 63-68
2
Mar 7Kennesaw State Owlsvs Kennesaw State OwlsW 79-76
1
Mar 5Jacksonville State Gamecocksvs Jacksonville State GamecocksW 77-75
2
Feb 28Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders@ Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersL 86-850
Feb 26Western Kentucky Hilltoppers@ Western Kentucky HilltoppersL 93-70
1
Feb 21UTEP Minersvs UTEP MinersW 67-63
2
Feb 14Jacksonville State Gamecocks@ Jacksonville State GamecocksW 70-79
1
Feb 11Liberty Flamesvs Liberty FlamesL 75-77
2
Feb 7UTEP Miners@ UTEP MinersL 91-880
Feb 4Louisiana Tech Bulldogs@ Louisiana Tech BulldogsW 63-72
1
Jan 31Kennesaw State Owls@ Kennesaw State OwlsL 76-53
3
Jan 28Delaware Blue Hensvs Delaware Blue HensL 64-73
2
Jan 24Florida International Panthersvs Florida International PanthersL 78-81
3
Jan 22Missouri State Bearsvs Missouri State BearsL 75-84
1
Jan 17Delaware Blue Hens@ Delaware Blue HensW 68-97
1
Jan 15Liberty Flames@ Liberty FlamesL 73-71
1
Jan 10Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersvs Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersL 55-59
2
Jan 8Western Kentucky Hilltoppersvs Western Kentucky HilltoppersW 80-64
1
Jan 4Missouri State Bears@ Missouri State BearsL 89-820
Jan 2Florida International Panthers@ Florida International PanthersL 89-74
2
Dec 28vs University of The Southwest MustangsW 104-33
1
Dec 21Sam Houston Bearkatsvs Sam Houston BearkatsW 87-780
Dec 6Abilene Christian Wildcats@ Abilene Christian WildcatsL 77-69
2
Dec 2South Alabama Jaguars@ South Alabama JaguarsL 77-75
1
Nov 26Georgia State Panthersvs Georgia State PanthersW 77-58
2
Nov 25UC Irvine Anteaters@ UC Irvine AnteatersW 45-57
3
Nov 21Samford Bulldogsvs Samford BulldogsW 81-72
1
Nov 15New Mexico Lobosvs New Mexico LobosW 76-68
2
Nov 11vs New Mexico Highlands CowboysW 74-58
2
Nov 4vs Adams State GrizzliesW 83-720
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
Florida International Panthers@ Florida International PanthersL 74-89Jan 2
25 pts allowed during 2 droughts (28.1% of 15-pt margin)
Major Factor
Sam Houston Bearkats@ Sam Houston BearkatsL 61-69Mar 11
19 pts allowed during 3 droughts (27.5% of 8-pt margin)
Major Factor
Liberty Flamesvs Liberty FlamesL 75-77Feb 11
18 pts allowed during 2 droughts (23.4% of 2-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersvs Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersL 55-59Jan 10
18 pts allowed during 2 droughts (30.5% of 4-pt margin)
Major Factor
Florida International Panthersvs Florida International PanthersL 78-81Jan 24
17 pts allowed during 3 droughts (21% of 3-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Missouri State Bearsvs Missouri State BearsL 75-84Jan 22
16 pts allowed during 1 drought (19% of 9-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Abilene Christian Wildcats@ Abilene Christian WildcatsL 69-77Dec 6
15 pts allowed during 2 droughts (19.5% of 8-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Delaware Blue Hensvs Delaware Blue HensL 64-73Jan 28
14 pts allowed during 2 droughts (19.2% of 9-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Liberty Flames@ Liberty FlamesL 71-73Jan 15
10 pts allowed during 1 drought (13.7% of 2-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended New Mexico State Aggies scoring droughts this season.
1
JJ
Jemel Jones
38% clutchⓘ
8
2
JM
Julius Mims
50% clutchⓘ
6
3
JR
Jayland Randall
40% clutchⓘ
5
4
JO
Jae'Coby Osborne
20% clutchⓘ
5
5
GP
Gabe Pickens
60% clutchⓘ
5
6
AW
Anthony Wrzeszcz
75% clutchⓘ
4
7
KM
Kyrese Mullen
50% clutchⓘ
4
8
EE
Elijah Elliott
2
9
AE
Augustine Ekwe
2
10
CT
Chris Terrell
2
3PT
2PT
FT