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Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Sam Houston Bearkats

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:57

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~8→8

+0

New Mexico State Aggies

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~1→3

+2

Pts ceded

~10→19

+9

Sam Houston Bearkats averages 1 droughts/game  · New Mexico State Aggies forces 2 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Sam Houston Bearkats droughts

3

New Mexico State Aggies droughts

4:13

Longest drought

New Mexico State Aggies

27

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

New Mexico State Aggies drought cost

3 droughts • 19 pts drought cost

19

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Sam Houston Bearkats drought cost

2 droughts • 8 pts drought cost

8

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Sam Houston Bearkats

Sam Houston Bearkats

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 20 → 22 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Veljko Ilic makes layup (Damon Nicholas Jr. assists)

2-Pointer

3:32

4.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 63 → 64 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Damon Nicholas Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:12

4.0 pts

New Mexico State Aggies

New Mexico State Aggies

3
1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 15 → 17 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Jae'Coby Osborne makes 2-foot dunk

2-Pointer

4:13

6.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 53 → 54 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Gabe Pickens makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:39

6.0 pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 7 → 9 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Julius Mims makes 3-foot alley oop dunk (Chris Terrell assists)

2-Pointer

3:06

7.0 pts