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Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Liberty Flames

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~23

+1

Pts Ceded

~1727

+10

Missouri State Bears

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:06

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~21

-1

Pts Ceded

~1714

-3

Liberty Flames averages 2 droughts/game  · Missouri State Bears forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

4

Both teams combined

Liberty Flames Droughts

3

Missouri State Bears Droughts

1

Longest Drought

6:01

Missouri State Bears

Drought Point Swing

41

Total unanswered points during droughts

Liberty Flames Drought Impact

3 droughts27 unanswered points allowed

27.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Missouri State Bears Drought Impact

1 drought14 unanswered points allowed

14.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Liberty Flames

Liberty Flames

3
2nd Halfcritical

Score: 5052 · Opponent scored 15 pts

Ended by: Josh Smith makes layup (Brett Decker Jr. assists)

2-Pointer

5:44

24.9 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2931 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Brett Decker Jr. makes 9-foot floating jump shot

2-Pointer

3:56

13.8 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 5758 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Kaden Metheny makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:13

10.5 opp pts

Missouri State Bears

Missouri State Bears

1
1st Halfcritical

Score: 1921 · Opponent scored 14 pts

Ended by: Kobi Williams makes 14-foot jumper (Trey Williams Jr. assists)

2-Pointer

6:01

25.6 opp pts