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Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Liberty Flames

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:49

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~14→27

+13

Missouri State Bears

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:06

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~12→14

+2

Liberty Flames averages 2 droughts/game  · Missouri State Bears forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

Liberty Flames droughts

1

Missouri State Bears droughts

6:01

Longest drought

Missouri State Bears

41

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Liberty Flames drought cost

3 droughts • 27 pts drought cost

27

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Missouri State Bears drought cost

1 drought • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Liberty Flames

Liberty Flames

3
2nd Halfcritical

Score: 50 → 52 · Opponent scored 15 pts

Ended by: Josh Smith makes layup (Brett Decker Jr. assists)

2-Pointer

5:44

15.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 29 → 31 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Brett Decker Jr. makes 9-foot floating jump shot

2-Pointer

3:56

7.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 57 → 58 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Kaden Metheny makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:13

5.0 pts

Missouri State Bears

Missouri State Bears

1
1st Halfcritical

Score: 19 → 21 · Opponent scored 14 pts

Ended by: Kobi Williams makes 14-foot jumper (Trey Williams Jr. assists)

2-Pointer

6:01

14.0 pts