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Missouri State Bears

Missouri State Bears

Conference USAG5

2025-26 drought profile · 34 games played · 16-18 (47%)

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Missouri State Bears ranks 5th of 10 Conference USA teams in droughts per game (1.18 dpg, below the Conference USA average of 1.41). Their droughts average 4:06 (+0:11 above the Conference USA norm) and have allowed opponents an average of 8.4 pts per drought, contributing to 9 influenced losses (2 decisive/major) in 2025-26.

Drought profile

1.18

Droughts/game

Conf avg: 1.4 · #5 of 10 in Conference USA

5th in Conference USA

-0.23/game vs Conference USA avg

#5 in Conference USA (10 teams)

4:06

Avg duration

Conf avg: 3:55 · #9 of 10 in Conference USA

+0:11 vs Conference USA avg

How long cold streaks typically last

8.4

Avg drought cost

Conf avg: 7.2 · #10 of 10 in Conference USA

+1.4 pts vs Conference USA avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game impact

9

Influenced losses

2 decisive/major: close losses where droughts swung the margin

13%

Timeout rate

Coach called a timeout in 5 of 40 droughts

4-9

Record w/ 2+ droughts

vs 12-9 in games with 0 to 1 droughts

Drought trend, 2025-26

Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.2 droughts/game.

When droughts happen

Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 40 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.

Half breakdown

1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?

1st half
22
droughts · avg 4:13
2nd half
18
droughts · avg 3:56

Drought cost by severity

How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points. See if critical ones truly hurt more.

Notable (3–4 min)
24
60% of droughts
7.3 pts drought cost
Significant (4–5 min)
9
23% of droughts
9.3 pts drought cost
Critical (5+ min)
7
18% of droughts
11.3 pts drought cost

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
7.3 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
9.3 pts
Critical (5+ min)
11.3 pts

Key takeaway

Critical droughts allow 55% more points than notable ones (11.3 vs 7.3 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-ending shots

What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.

3-PT(15%)2-PT(50%)FT(35%)
3-pointer (6, 15%)2-pointer (20, 50%)FT (14, 35%)

Score differential by game

Every game plotted over 40 minutes: positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.

Mar 13
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
L 66–69
Mar 11
Liberty Flames@ Liberty Flames
W 77–69
Mar 10
Florida International Panthers@ Florida International Panthers
W 75–72
Mar 7
Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersvs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
L 63–75
Mar 5
Western Kentucky Hilltoppersvs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
W 87–74
Feb 28
Sam Houston Bearkats@ Sam Houston Bearkats
L 81–86
Feb 26
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
L 70–72
Feb 21
Florida International Panthers@ Florida International Panthers
L 67–70
Feb 18
Kennesaw State Owlsvs Kennesaw State Owls
L 87–91
Feb 14
Delaware Blue Hensvs Delaware Blue Hens
L 67–76
Feb 12
Louisiana Tech Bulldogsvs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
L 78–79
Feb 7
Liberty Flames@ Liberty Flames
L 76–79
Jan 31
Jacksonville State Gamecocksvs Jacksonville State Gamecocks
W 74–67
Jan 28
Sam Houston Bearkatsvs Sam Houston Bearkats
L 71–80
Jan 24
UTEP Miners@ UTEP Miners
W 62–57
Jan 22
New Mexico State Aggies@ New Mexico State Aggies
W 84–75
Jan 17
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders@ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
L 87–90
Jan 14
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
L 72–87
Jan 10
Florida International Panthersvs Florida International Panthers
W 79–71
Jan 7
Kennesaw State Owls@ Kennesaw State Owls
L 80–90
Jan 4
New Mexico State Aggiesvs New Mexico State Aggies
W 89–82
Jan 2
UTEP Minersvs UTEP Miners
W 79–55
Dec 29
Delaware Blue Hens@ Delaware Blue Hens
W 61–43
Dec 23
vs Lindenwood Lions
W 70–65
Dec 16
Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesvs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles
W 63–62
Dec 12
Xavier Musketeers@ Xavier Musketeers
L 57–75
Dec 6
Tulsa Golden Hurricane@ Tulsa Golden Hurricane
L 74–98
Nov 30
vs Northeastern State RiverHawks
W 92–71
Nov 24
Long Island University Sharksvs Long Island University Sharks
L 61–75
Nov 22
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosvs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
W 74–67
Nov 15
UT Arlington Mavericks@ UT Arlington Mavericks
L 49–67
Nov 11
Arkansas State Red Wolvesvs Arkansas State Red Wolves
L 85–86
Nov 8
vs Northwestern Oklahoma State Rangers
W 106–57
Nov 4
vs Missouri Southern State Lions
W 88–70
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →

Game log

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 13Louisiana Tech Bulldogs@ Louisiana Tech BulldogsL 69-66
1
Mar 11Liberty Flames@ Liberty FlamesW 69-77
1
Mar 10Florida International Panthers@ Florida International PanthersW 72-750
Mar 7Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersvs Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersL 63-75
3
Mar 5Western Kentucky Hilltoppersvs Western Kentucky HilltoppersW 87-740
Feb 28Sam Houston Bearkats@ Sam Houston BearkatsL 86-81
2
Feb 26Louisiana Tech Bulldogs@ Louisiana Tech BulldogsL 72-70
1
Feb 21Florida International Panthers@ Florida International PanthersL 70-67
2
Feb 18Kennesaw State Owlsvs Kennesaw State OwlsL 87-910
Feb 14Delaware Blue Hensvs Delaware Blue HensL 67-76
2
Feb 12Louisiana Tech Bulldogsvs Louisiana Tech BulldogsL 78-79
1
Feb 7Liberty Flames@ Liberty FlamesL 79-76
1
Jan 31Jacksonville State Gamecocksvs Jacksonville State GamecocksW 74-67
1
Jan 28Sam Houston Bearkatsvs Sam Houston BearkatsL 71-80
1
Jan 24UTEP Miners@ UTEP MinersW 57-62
2
Jan 22New Mexico State Aggies@ New Mexico State AggiesW 75-84
1
Jan 17Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders@ Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersL 90-87
3
Jan 14Western Kentucky Hilltoppers@ Western Kentucky HilltoppersL 87-720
Jan 10Florida International Panthersvs Florida International PanthersW 79-710
Jan 7Kennesaw State Owls@ Kennesaw State OwlsL 90-80
1
Jan 4New Mexico State Aggiesvs New Mexico State AggiesW 89-820
Jan 2UTEP Minersvs UTEP MinersW 79-55
2
Dec 29Delaware Blue Hens@ Delaware Blue HensW 43-61
1
Dec 23vs Lindenwood LionsW 70-65
2
Dec 16Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesvs Oral Roberts Golden EaglesW 63-62
1
Dec 12Xavier Musketeers@ Xavier MusketeersL 75-57
2
Dec 6Tulsa Golden Hurricane@ Tulsa Golden HurricaneL 98-74
2
Nov 30vs Northeastern State RiverHawksW 92-710
Nov 24Long Island University Sharksvs Long Island University SharksL 61-75
2
Nov 22UT Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosvs UT Rio Grande Valley VaquerosW 74-67
2
Nov 15UT Arlington Mavericks@ UT Arlington MavericksL 67-49
3
Nov 11Arkansas State Red Wolvesvs Arkansas State Red WolvesL 85-860
Nov 8vs Northwestern Oklahoma State RangersW 106-570
Nov 4vs Missouri Southern State LionsW 88-700

Drought-influenced losses

Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Drought cost" = points the opponent scores during a drought.

Long Island University Sharksvs Long Island University SharksL 61-75Nov 24
20 pts allowed during 2 droughts (26.7% of 14-pt margin)
Major Factor
Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersvs Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersL 63-75Mar 7
20 pts allowed during 3 droughts (26.7% of 12-pt margin)
Major Factor
Kennesaw State Owls@ Kennesaw State OwlsL 80-90Jan 7
19 pts allowed during 1 drought (21.1% of 10-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders@ Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersL 87-90Jan 17
19 pts allowed during 3 droughts (21.1% of 3-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Sam Houston Bearkats@ Sam Houston BearkatsL 81-86Feb 28
18 pts allowed during 2 droughts (20.9% of 5-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Liberty Flames@ Liberty FlamesL 76-79Feb 7
16 pts allowed during 1 drought (20.3% of 3-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Delaware Blue Hensvs Delaware Blue HensL 67-76Feb 14
14 pts allowed during 2 droughts (18.4% of 9-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Sam Houston Bearkatsvs Sam Houston BearkatsL 71-80Jan 28
9 pts allowed during 1 drought (11.3% of 9-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Florida International Panthers@ Florida International PanthersL 67-70Feb 21
8 pts allowed during 2 droughts (11.4% of 3-pt margin)
Minor Factor

Drought killers

Players who most often ended Missouri State Bears scoring droughts in 2025-26.

1
KI
Keith Palek III
38% clutchⓘ
13
2
KW
Kobi Williams
14% clutchⓘ
7
3
MO
Michael Osei-Bonsu
50% clutchⓘ
6
4
ZK
Zaxton King
75% clutchⓘ
4
5
TJ
Trey Williams Jr.
67% clutchⓘ
3
6
CB
Cameron Boone
2
3PT
2PT
FT