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Tuesday, March 17, 2026

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

NC State Wolfpack

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 6 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~6→16

+10

Texas Longhorns

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:49

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~8→12

+4

NC State Wolfpack averages 1 droughts/game  · Texas Longhorns forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

NC State Wolfpack droughts

2

Texas Longhorns droughts

4:49

Longest drought

NC State Wolfpack

28

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

NC State Wolfpack drought cost

2 droughts • 16 pts drought cost

16

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Texas Longhorns drought cost

2 droughts • 12 pts drought cost

12

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
NC State Wolfpack

NC State Wolfpack

2
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 2 → 5 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Darrion Williams makes 24-foot three point jumper (Quadir Copeland assists)

3-Pointer

4:49

9.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 34 → 36 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Darrion Williams makes 18-foot jumper (Ven-Allen Lubin assists)

2-Pointer

3:49

7.0 pts

Texas Longhorns

Texas Longhorns

2
1H → 2Hsignificant

Score: 30 → 32 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Matas Vokietaitis makes layup (Tramon Mark assists)

2-Pointer

4:29

6.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 25 → 26 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Matas Vokietaitis makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:04

6.0 pts