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Thursday, March 12, 2026

Conference game
Virginia CavaliersVirginia Cavaliers

81

vs
NC State WolfpackNC State Wolfpack

74

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Virginia Cavaliers

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~9→7

-2

NC State Wolfpack

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~10→9

-1

Virginia Cavaliers averages 1 droughts/game  · NC State Wolfpack forces 2 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Virginia Cavaliers droughts

1

NC State Wolfpack droughts

3:39

Longest drought

NC State Wolfpack

16

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

NC State Wolfpack drought cost

1 drought • 9 pts drought cost

9

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Virginia Cavaliers drought cost

1 drought • 7 pts drought cost

7

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Virginia Cavaliers

Virginia Cavaliers

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 28 → 30 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Dallin Hall makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:29

7.0 pts

NC State Wolfpack

NC State Wolfpack

1
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 45 → 48 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Paul McNeil Jr. makes 28-foot three pointer

3-Pointer

3:39

9.0 pts