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Virginia Cavaliers

Virginia Cavaliers

ACCP4

2025-26 Drought Profile · 24 games played · 29-6 (83%)

Virginia Cavaliers ranks 2nd of 18 ACC teams in droughts per game (1.46 dpg, below the ACC average of 1.81). Their droughts average 4:02 — +0:16 above the ACC norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 6.9 pts per drought, contributing to 2 influenced losses this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.46

Conf avg: 1.8 · #2 of 18 in ACC

2nd in ACC

-0.35/game vs ACC avg

#2 in ACC (18 teams)

Avg Duration

4:02

Conf avg: 226.7 · #18 of 18 in ACC

+0:16 vs ACC avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

6.9

Conf avg: 7.0 · #8 of 18 in ACC

-0.1 pts vs ACC avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

2

0 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

11%

Coach called a timeout in 4 of 35 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

7-2

vs 22-4 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.5 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 35 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
24
droughts · avg 4:06
2nd Half
11
droughts · avg 3:54
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
19
54% of droughts
4.8 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
9
26% of droughts
8.6 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
7
20% of droughts
10.7 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
4.8 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
8.6 pts
Critical (5+ min)
10.7 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 123% more points than notable ones (10.7 vs 4.8 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(29%)2-PT(51%)FT(20%)
3-Ptr (10, 29%)2-Ptr (18, 51%)FT (7, 20%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 22
Tennessee Volunteersvs Tennessee Volunteers
L 72–79
Mar 20
Wright State Raidersvs Wright State Raiders
W 82–73
Mar 14
Duke Blue Devils@ Duke Blue Devils
L 70–74
Mar 13
Miami Hurricanesvs Miami Hurricanes
W 84–62
Mar 12
NC State Wolfpackvs NC State Wolfpack
W 81–74
Mar 7
Virginia Tech Hokiesvs Virginia Tech Hokies
W 76–72
Mar 3
Wake Forest Demon Deaconsvs Wake Forest Demon Deacons
W 75–70
Feb 28
Duke Blue Devils@ Duke Blue Devils
L 51–77
Feb 24
NC State Wolfpackvs NC State Wolfpack
W 90–61
Feb 21
Miami Hurricanesvs Miami Hurricanes
W 86–83
Feb 18
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
W 94–68
Feb 14
Ohio State Buckeyes@ Ohio State Buckeyes
W 70–66
Feb 10
Florida State Seminoles@ Florida State Seminoles
W 61–58
Feb 7
Syracuse Orangevs Syracuse Orange
W 72–59
Feb 3
Pittsburgh Panthersvs Pittsburgh Panthers
W 67–47
Jan 31
Boston College Eagles@ Boston College Eagles
W 73–66
Jan 27
Notre Dame Fighting Irish@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
W 100–97
Jan 24
North Carolina Tar Heelsvs North Carolina Tar Heels
L 80–85
Jan 17
SMU Mustangs@ SMU Mustangs
W 72–68
Jan 13
Louisville Cardinals@ Louisville Cardinals
W 79–70
Jan 10
Stanford Cardinalvs Stanford Cardinal
W 70–55
Jan 7
California Golden Bearsvs California Golden Bears
W 84–60
Jan 3
NC State Wolfpack@ NC State Wolfpack
W 76–61
Dec 31
Virginia Tech Hokies@ Virginia Tech Hokies
L 85–95
Dec 22
American University Eaglesvs American University Eagles
W 95–51
Dec 20
Maryland Terrapinsvs Maryland Terrapins
W 80–72
Dec 9
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawksvs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks
W 84–60
Dec 6
Dayton Flyersvs Dayton Flyers
W 86–73
Dec 3
Texas Longhorns@ Texas Longhorns
W 88–69
Nov 28
vs Queens University Royals
W 94–69
Nov 23
Butler Bulldogsvs Butler Bulldogs
L 73–80
Nov 21
Northwestern Wildcatsvs Northwestern Wildcats
W 83–78
Nov 15
Marshall Thundering Herdvs Marshall Thundering Herd
W 104–78
Nov 11
Hampton Piratesvs Hampton Pirates
W 91–53
Nov 7
North Carolina Central Eaglesvs North Carolina Central Eagles
W 81–62
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 22Tennessee Volunteersvs Tennessee VolunteersL 72-79
1
Mar 20Wright State Raidersvs Wright State RaidersW 82-730
Mar 14Duke Blue Devils@ Duke Blue DevilsL 74-700
Mar 13Miami Hurricanesvs Miami HurricanesW 84-62
1
Mar 12NC State Wolfpackvs NC State WolfpackW 81-74
1
Mar 7Virginia Tech Hokiesvs Virginia Tech HokiesW 76-72
2
Mar 3Wake Forest Demon Deaconsvs Wake Forest Demon DeaconsW 75-70
1
Feb 28Duke Blue Devils@ Duke Blue DevilsL 77-51
4
Feb 24NC State Wolfpackvs NC State WolfpackW 90-61
1
Feb 21Miami Hurricanesvs Miami HurricanesW 86-83
1
Feb 18Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets@ Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsW 68-940
Feb 14Ohio State Buckeyes@ Ohio State BuckeyesW 66-70
2
Feb 10Florida State Seminoles@ Florida State SeminolesW 58-61
2
Feb 7Syracuse Orangevs Syracuse OrangeW 72-590
Feb 3Pittsburgh Panthersvs Pittsburgh PanthersW 67-47
1
Jan 31Boston College Eagles@ Boston College EaglesW 66-73
1
Jan 27Notre Dame Fighting Irish@ Notre Dame Fighting IrishW 97-1000
Jan 24North Carolina Tar Heelsvs North Carolina Tar HeelsL 80-850
Jan 17SMU Mustangs@ SMU MustangsW 68-720
Jan 13Louisville Cardinals@ Louisville CardinalsW 70-79
2
Jan 10Stanford Cardinalvs Stanford CardinalW 70-55
1
Jan 7California Golden Bearsvs California Golden BearsW 84-600
Jan 3NC State Wolfpack@ NC State WolfpackW 61-76
1
Dec 31Virginia Tech Hokies@ Virginia Tech HokiesL 95-85
2
Dec 22American University Eaglesvs American University EaglesW 95-51
2
Dec 20Maryland Terrapinsvs Maryland TerrapinsW 80-72
2
Dec 9Maryland Eastern Shore Hawksvs Maryland Eastern Shore HawksW 84-60
2
Dec 6Dayton Flyersvs Dayton FlyersW 86-73
1
Dec 3Texas Longhorns@ Texas LonghornsW 69-880
Nov 28vs Queens University RoyalsW 94-69
1
Nov 23Butler Bulldogsvs Butler BulldogsL 73-80
1
Nov 21Northwestern Wildcatsvs Northwestern WildcatsW 83-780
Nov 15Marshall Thundering Herdvs Marshall Thundering HerdW 104-780
Nov 11Hampton Piratesvs Hampton PiratesW 91-53
1
Nov 7North Carolina Central Eaglesvs North Carolina Central EaglesW 81-62
1
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
Virginia Tech Hokies@ Virginia Tech HokiesL 85-95Dec 31
13 pts allowed during 2 droughts (13.7% of 10-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Tennessee Volunteersvs Tennessee VolunteersL 72-79Mar 22
12 pts allowed during 1 drought (15.2% of 7-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Virginia Cavaliers scoring droughts this season.
1
CM
Chance Mallory
63% clutchⓘ
8
2
TR
Thijs De Ridder
38% clutchⓘ
8
3
JW
Jacari White
50% clutchⓘ
4
4
MT
Malik Thomas
67% clutchⓘ
3
5
DT
Devin Tillis
33% clutchⓘ
3
6
UO
Ugonna Onyenso
100% clutchⓘ
3
7
SL
Sam Lewis
2
8
DH
Dallin Hall
2
9
JG
Johann Grunloh
2
3PT
2PT
FT