North Carolina Tar Heels at Virginia Cavaliers

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Saturday, January 24, 2026

Conference game

Virginia Cavaliers

North Carolina Tar Heels

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Virginia Cavaliers

High confidence

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Expected a drought, none occurred

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts ceded

~10→0

-10

North Carolina Tar Heels

High confidence

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

Pts ceded

~13→19

Virginia Cavaliers averages 1 droughts/game · North Carolina Tar Heels forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total droughts

Both teams combined

Virginia Cavaliers droughts

North Carolina Tar Heels droughts

4:34

Longest drought

North Carolina Tar Heels

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

North Carolina Tar Heels drought cost

2 droughts • 19 pts drought cost

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)

Virginia Cavaliers

No notable droughts

North Carolina Tar Heels

2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 67 → 70 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Jarin Stevenson makes 26-foot three point jumper (Derek Dixon assists)

3-Pointer

4:34

9.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2 → 3 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Seth Trimble makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:08

10.0 pts