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Saturday, February 28, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Duke Blue Devils

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:29

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~8→0

-8

Virginia Cavaliers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→4

+2

Pts ceded

~13→30

+17

Duke Blue Devils averages 1 droughts/game  · Virginia Cavaliers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Duke Blue Devils droughts

4

Virginia Cavaliers droughts

5:11

Longest drought

Virginia Cavaliers

30

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Duke Blue Devils drought cost

1 drought • 0 pts drought cost

0

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Virginia Cavaliers drought cost

4 droughts • 30 pts drought cost

30

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Duke Blue Devils

Duke Blue Devils

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 15 → 18 · Opponent scored 0 pts

Ended by: Isaiah Evans makes 23-foot three point jumper (Cayden Boozer assists)

3-Pointer

3:21

0.0 pts

Virginia Cavaliers

Virginia Cavaliers

4
2nd Halfcritical

Score: 43 → 45 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Chance Mallory makes 17-foot pullup jump shot

2-Pointer

5:11

11.0 pts

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 7 → 9 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Johann Grunloh makes 1-foot alley oop dunk (Devin Tillis assists)

2-Pointer

4:39

7.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 26 → 29 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Thijs De Ridder makes 23-foot three point jumper (Dallin Hall assists)

3-Pointer

3:09

5.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 32 → 34 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Chance Mallory makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:03

7.0 pts