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Monday, December 22, 2025

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Virginia Cavaliers

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~10→3

-7

American University Eagles

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:00

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~17→23

+6

Virginia Cavaliers averages 1 droughts/game  · American University Eagles forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Virginia Cavaliers droughts

2

American University Eagles droughts

6:51

Longest drought

American University Eagles

26

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

American University Eagles drought cost

2 droughts • 23 pts drought cost

23

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Virginia Cavaliers drought cost

2 droughts • 3 pts drought cost

3

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Virginia Cavaliers

Virginia Cavaliers

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 22 → 24 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Malik Thomas makes driving layup (Johann Grunloh assists)

2-Pointer

3:48

3.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 17 → 19 · Opponent scored 0 pts

Ended by: Chance Mallory makes driving layup (Dallin Hall assists)

2-Pointer

3:05

0.0 pts

American University Eagles

American University Eagles

2
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 8 → 11 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Greg Jones makes 23-foot three point jumper (Kade Sebastian assists)

3-Pointer

6:51

9.0 pts

2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 31 → 33 · Opponent scored 14 pts

Ended by: Julen Iturbe makes 10-foot turnaround jump shot (Wyatt Nausadis assists)

2-Pointer

4:03

14.0 pts