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Saturday, January 17, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

SMU Mustangs

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~11→9

-2

Virginia Cavaliers

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 7 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Predicted drought, none occurred

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts ceded

~7→0

-7

SMU Mustangs averages 1 droughts/game  · Virginia Cavaliers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

SMU Mustangs droughts

0

Virginia Cavaliers droughts

5:18

Longest drought

SMU Mustangs

9

Drought point swing

Total unanswered points during droughts

SMU Mustangs drought impact

2 droughts • 9 unanswered points allowed

9

Points allowed during droughts

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
SMU Mustangs

SMU Mustangs

2
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 26 → 28 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Jaron Pierre Jr. makes 11-foot hook shot

2-Pointer

5:18

16.0 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 54 → 56 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Jaden Toombs makes 0-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

3:51

8.5 opp pts

Virginia Cavaliers

Virginia Cavaliers

0

No notable droughts