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Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Virginia Cavaliers

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~8→8

+0

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:43

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→4

+2

Pts ceded

~17→24

+7

Virginia Cavaliers averages 1 droughts/game  · Wake Forest Demon Deacons forces 1 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Virginia Cavaliers droughts

4

Wake Forest Demon Deacons droughts

4:12

Longest drought

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

32

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Virginia Cavaliers drought cost

1 drought • 8 pts drought cost

8

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Wake Forest Demon Deacons drought cost

4 droughts • 24 pts drought cost

24

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Virginia Cavaliers

Virginia Cavaliers

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 19 → 22 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Thijs De Ridder makes 24-foot three pointer

3-Pointer

3:27

8.0 pts

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

4
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 5 → 8 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Mekhi Mason makes 27-foot three pointer

3-Pointer

4:12

4.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 11 → 13 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Myles Colvin makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:23

8.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 24 → 26 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Juke Harris makes 15-foot step back jumpshot

2-Pointer

3:06

8.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 41 → 43 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Juke Harris makes 11-foot turnaround jump shot

2-Pointer

3:06

4.0 pts