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Tuesday, January 13, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Louisville Cardinals

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:36

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~13→12

-1

Virginia Cavaliers

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~9→14

+5

Louisville Cardinals averages 1 droughts/game  · Virginia Cavaliers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Louisville Cardinals droughts

2

Virginia Cavaliers droughts

4:34

Longest drought

Virginia Cavaliers

26

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Louisville Cardinals drought cost

2 droughts • 12 pts drought cost

12

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Virginia Cavaliers drought cost

2 droughts • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Louisville Cardinals

Louisville Cardinals

2
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 41 → 43 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Aly Khalifa makes 13-foot jumper (Ryan Conwell assists)

2-Pointer

3:29

8.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 8 → 11 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Isaac McKneely makes 33-foot three point jumper (Ryan Conwell assists)

3-Pointer

3:28

4.0 pts

Virginia Cavaliers

Virginia Cavaliers

2
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 14 → 15 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Sam Lewis makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:34

8.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 56 → 57 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Chance Mallory makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:45

6.0 pts