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Saturday, February 14, 2026

Ohio State BuckeyesOhio State Buckeyes

66

vs
Virginia CavaliersVirginia Cavaliers

70

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Ohio State Buckeyes

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~14→20

+6

Virginia Cavaliers

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 7 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~7→4

-3

Ohio State Buckeyes averages 1 droughts/game  · Virginia Cavaliers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

Ohio State Buckeyes droughts

2

Virginia Cavaliers droughts

4:58

Longest drought

Ohio State Buckeyes

24

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Ohio State Buckeyes drought cost

3 droughts • 20 pts drought cost

20

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Virginia Cavaliers drought cost

2 droughts • 4 pts drought cost

4

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Ohio State Buckeyes

Ohio State Buckeyes

3
2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 59 → 61 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Bruce Thornton makes 6-foot turnaround jump shot

2-Pointer

4:58

8.0 pts

2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 61 → 64 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Amare Bynum makes 26-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

4:35

5.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 31 → 33 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Devin Royal makes 0-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

3:32

7.0 pts

Virginia Cavaliers

Virginia Cavaliers

2
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 63 → 65 · Opponent scored 0 pts

Ended by: Dallin Hall makes layup

2-Pointer

3:32

0.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 37 → 38 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Sam Lewis makes free throw 2 of 3

Free Throw

3:07

4.0 pts