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Saturday, January 3, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

NC State Wolfpack

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~10→10

+0

Virginia Cavaliers

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~9→10

+1

NC State Wolfpack averages 1 droughts/game  · Virginia Cavaliers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

NC State Wolfpack droughts

1

Virginia Cavaliers droughts

4:12

Longest drought

Virginia Cavaliers

20

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

NC State Wolfpack drought cost

1 drought • 10 pts drought cost

10

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Virginia Cavaliers drought cost

1 drought • 10 pts drought cost

10

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
NC State Wolfpack

NC State Wolfpack

1
1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 13 → 14 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Paul McNeil Jr. makes free throw 3 of 3

Free Throw

3:19

10.0 pts

Virginia Cavaliers

Virginia Cavaliers

1
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 74 → 76 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Chance Mallory makes 10-foot jumper

2-Pointer

4:12

10.0 pts