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Tuesday, February 24, 2026

Conference game
Virginia CavaliersVirginia Cavaliers

90

vs
NC State WolfpackNC State Wolfpack

61

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Virginia Cavaliers

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~9→10

+1

NC State Wolfpack

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~10→20

+10

Virginia Cavaliers averages 1 droughts/game  · NC State Wolfpack forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Virginia Cavaliers droughts

2

NC State Wolfpack droughts

6:00

Longest drought

Virginia Cavaliers

30

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

NC State Wolfpack drought cost

2 droughts • 20 pts drought cost

20

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Virginia Cavaliers drought cost

1 drought • 10 pts drought cost

10

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Virginia Cavaliers

Virginia Cavaliers

1
1st Halfcritical

Score: 15 → 18 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Jacari White makes 25-foot three pointer (Thijs De Ridder assists)

3-Pointer

6:00

10.0 pts

NC State Wolfpack

NC State Wolfpack

2
1H → 2Hsignificant

Score: 19 → 22 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Darrion Williams makes 25-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

4:49

8.0 pts

1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 3 → 5 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Terrance Arceneaux makes layup (Darrion Williams assists)

2-Pointer

4:31

12.0 pts