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Sunday, December 21, 2025

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

SMU Mustangs

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Expected a drought, none occurred

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts ceded

~9→0

-9

Central Arkansas Bears

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~10→18

+8

SMU Mustangs averages 1 droughts/game  · Central Arkansas Bears forces 2 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

0

SMU Mustangs droughts

2

Central Arkansas Bears droughts

3:40

Longest drought

Central Arkansas Bears

18

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Central Arkansas Bears drought cost

2 droughts • 18 pts drought cost

18

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
SMU Mustangs

SMU Mustangs

0

No notable droughts

Central Arkansas Bears

Central Arkansas Bears

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 17 → 20 · Opponent scored 13 pts

Ended by: Camren Hunter makes 26-foot three point step back jumpshot

3-Pointer

3:40

13.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 47 → 49 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Ty Robinson makes 20-foot pullup jump shot

2-Pointer

3:01

5.0 pts