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Central Arkansas Bears

Central Arkansas Bears

ASUNOTHER

2025-26 Drought Profile · 27 games played · 22-11 (67%)

Central Arkansas Bears ranks 9th of 12 ASUN teams in droughts per game (1.93 dpg, above the ASUN average of 1.78). Their droughts average 3:41 — 0:11 below the ASUN norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 6.6 pts per drought, contributing to 4 influenced losses (1 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.93

Conf avg: 1.8 · #9 of 12 in ASUN

9th in ASUN

+0.15/game vs ASUN avg

#9 in ASUN (12 teams)

Avg Duration

3:41

Conf avg: 230.9 · #2 of 12 in ASUN

-0:11 vs ASUN avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

6.6

Conf avg: 7.6 · #2 of 12 in ASUN

-1.1 pts vs ASUN avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

4

1 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

15%

Coach called a timeout in 8 of 52 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

4-8

vs 18-3 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.9 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 52 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
29
droughts · avg 3:40
2nd Half
23
droughts · avg 3:42
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
40
77% of droughts
6 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
7
13% of droughts
8.9 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
5
10% of droughts
8.8 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
8.9 pts
Critical (5+ min)
8.8 pts

Key Takeaway

Significant droughts allow 48% more points than notable ones (8.9 vs 6 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(29%)2-PT(40%)FT(31%)
3-Ptr (15, 29%)2-Ptr (21, 40%)FT (16, 31%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 8
vs Queens University Royals
L 93–98
Mar 7
Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesvs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
W 73–63
Mar 6
Bellarmine Knightsvs Bellarmine Knights
W 86–73
Feb 28
vs Queens University Royals
W 61–53
Feb 25
Austin Peay Governors@ Austin Peay Governors
W 93–88
Feb 21
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles@ Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
L 71–75
Feb 19
Stetson Hatters@ Stetson Hatters
W 88–76
Feb 14
West Georgia Wolvesvs West Georgia Wolves
W 79–62
Feb 11
Bellarmine Knightsvs Bellarmine Knights
W 84–76
Feb 9
North Alabama Lions@ North Alabama Lions
W 72–65
Feb 7
Lipscomb Bisons@ Lipscomb Bisons
W 86–78
Feb 4
North Alabama Lionsvs North Alabama Lions
W 81–60
Jan 31
Eastern Kentucky Colonelsvs Eastern Kentucky Colonels
W 90–81
Jan 28
@ Queens University Royals
W 100–90
Jan 22
West Georgia Wolves@ West Georgia Wolves
W 86–65
Jan 17
North Florida Ospreysvs North Florida Ospreys
W 98–69
Jan 15
Jacksonville Dolphinsvs Jacksonville Dolphins
W 62–60
Jan 10
Eastern Kentucky Colonels@ Eastern Kentucky Colonels
L 75–79
Jan 8
Bellarmine Knights@ Bellarmine Knights
L 78–84
Jan 3
Stetson Hattersvs Stetson Hatters
W 93–73
Jan 1
Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesvs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
W 85–83
Dec 21
SMU Mustangs@ SMU Mustangs
L 82–99
Dec 17
vs Kansas Christian Falcons
W 102–47
Dec 13
Vanderbilt Commodores@ Vanderbilt Commodores
L 72–83
Dec 7
East Texas A&M Lions@ East Texas A&M Lions
L 68–75
Dec 3
Little Rock Trojansvs Little Rock Trojans
W 85–47
Nov 29
East Tennessee State Buccaneers@ East Tennessee State Buccaneers
L 57–80
Nov 25
Eastern Illinois Panthersvs Eastern Illinois Panthers
W 81–60
Nov 23
Eastern Washington Eaglesvs Eastern Washington Eagles
W 92–65
Nov 20
North Texas Mean Green@ North Texas Mean Green
L 56–74
Nov 16
Samford Bulldogsvs Samford Bulldogs
L 77–84
Nov 11
Arkansas Razorbacks@ Arkansas Razorbacks
L 56–93
Nov 8
vs Champion Christian Tigers
W 110–63
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 8vs Queens University RoyalsL 93-98
4
Mar 7Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesvs Florida Gulf Coast EaglesW 73-63
3
Mar 6Bellarmine Knightsvs Bellarmine KnightsW 86-73
1
Feb 28vs Queens University RoyalsW 61-53
1
Feb 25Austin Peay Governors@ Austin Peay GovernorsW 88-93
1
Feb 21Florida Gulf Coast Eagles@ Florida Gulf Coast EaglesL 75-710
Feb 19Stetson Hatters@ Stetson HattersW 76-88
1
Feb 14West Georgia Wolvesvs West Georgia WolvesW 79-62
3
Feb 11Bellarmine Knightsvs Bellarmine KnightsW 84-76
1
Feb 9North Alabama Lions@ North Alabama LionsW 65-720
Feb 7Lipscomb Bisons@ Lipscomb BisonsW 78-86
1
Feb 4North Alabama Lionsvs North Alabama LionsW 81-60
1
Jan 31Eastern Kentucky Colonelsvs Eastern Kentucky ColonelsW 90-81
3
Jan 28@ Queens University RoyalsW 90-1000
Jan 22West Georgia Wolves@ West Georgia WolvesW 65-86
1
Jan 17North Florida Ospreysvs North Florida OspreysW 98-690
Jan 15Jacksonville Dolphinsvs Jacksonville DolphinsW 62-60
1
Jan 10Eastern Kentucky Colonels@ Eastern Kentucky ColonelsL 79-75
5
Jan 8Bellarmine Knights@ Bellarmine KnightsL 84-78
2
Jan 3Stetson Hattersvs Stetson HattersW 93-73
1
Jan 1Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesvs Florida Gulf Coast EaglesW 85-830
Dec 21SMU Mustangs@ SMU MustangsL 99-82
2
Dec 17vs Kansas Christian FalconsW 102-47
1
Dec 13Vanderbilt Commodores@ Vanderbilt CommodoresL 83-72
2
Dec 7East Texas A&M Lions@ East Texas A&M LionsL 75-68
1
Dec 3Little Rock Trojansvs Little Rock TrojansW 85-47
2
Nov 29East Tennessee State Buccaneers@ East Tennessee State BuccaneersL 80-57
5
Nov 25Eastern Illinois Panthersvs Eastern Illinois PanthersW 81-60
1
Nov 23Eastern Washington Eaglesvs Eastern Washington EaglesW 92-650
Nov 20North Texas Mean Green@ North Texas Mean GreenL 74-56
3
Nov 16Samford Bulldogsvs Samford BulldogsL 77-84
1
Nov 11Arkansas Razorbacks@ Arkansas RazorbacksL 93-56
3
Nov 8vs Champion Christian TigersW 110-63
1
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
Eastern Kentucky Colonels@ Eastern Kentucky ColonelsL 75-79Jan 10
27 pts allowed during 5 droughts (34.2% of 4-pt margin)
Major Factor
vs Queens University RoyalsL 93-98Mar 8
22 pts allowed during 4 droughts (22.4% of 5-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Bellarmine Knights@ Bellarmine KnightsL 78-84Jan 8
13 pts allowed during 2 droughts (15.5% of 6-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Vanderbilt Commodores@ Vanderbilt CommodoresL 72-83Dec 13
10 pts allowed during 2 droughts (12% of 11-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Central Arkansas Bears scoring droughts this season.
1
CH
Camren Hunter
53% clutchⓘ
15
2
TR
Ty Robinson
56% clutchⓘ
9
3
JG
Javion Guy-King
50% clutchⓘ
8
4
CM
Cole McCormick
71% clutchⓘ
7
5
LM
Luke Moore
20% clutchⓘ
5
6
MM
Malchiah Marable
100% clutchⓘ
3
7
TB
Truman Byrne
33% clutchⓘ
3
3PT
2PT
FT