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Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Conference game
Central Arkansas BearsCentral Arkansas Bears

81

vs
North Alabama LionsNorth Alabama Lions

60

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Central Arkansas Bears

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~10→5

-5

North Alabama Lions

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~15→9

-6

Central Arkansas Bears averages 2 droughts/game  · North Alabama Lions forces 1 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Central Arkansas Bears droughts

1

North Alabama Lions droughts

5:30

Longest drought

North Alabama Lions

14

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Central Arkansas Bears drought cost

1 drought • 5 pts drought cost

5

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

North Alabama Lions drought cost

1 drought • 9 pts drought cost

9

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Central Arkansas Bears

Central Arkansas Bears

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 31 → 33 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Ty Robinson makes layup (Harry Beauchamp assists)

2-Pointer

3:10

5.0 pts

North Alabama Lions

North Alabama Lions

1
2nd HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 51 → 53 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Kevin de Kovachich makes 19-foot jumper

2-Pointer

5:30

9.0 pts