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Saturday, January 17, 2026

Conference game
Central Arkansas BearsCentral Arkansas Bears

98

vs
North Florida OspreysNorth Florida Ospreys

69

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Central Arkansas Bears

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 7 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ No drought, as expected

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts ceded

~7→0

-7

North Florida Ospreys

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:56

avg duration

9

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~16→27

+11

Central Arkansas Bears averages 2 droughts/game  · North Florida Ospreys forces 1 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

0

Central Arkansas Bears droughts

2

North Florida Ospreys droughts

5:58

Longest drought

North Florida Ospreys

27

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

North Florida Ospreys drought cost

2 droughts • 27 pts drought cost

27

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Central Arkansas Bears

Central Arkansas Bears

0

No notable droughts

North Florida Ospreys

North Florida Ospreys

2
1H → 2Hcritical

Score: 23 → 25 · Opponent scored 16 pts

Ended by: Mason Lee makes layup (Nestor Dyachok assists)

2-Pointer

5:58

16.0 pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 15 → 17 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: BJ Plummer makes layup (Mason Lee assists)

2-Pointer

3:37

11.0 pts