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Saturday, January 3, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Central Arkansas Bears

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~8→4

-4

Stetson Hatters

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~14→17

+3

Central Arkansas Bears averages 2 droughts/game  · Stetson Hatters forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Central Arkansas Bears droughts

2

Stetson Hatters droughts

5:32

Longest drought

Stetson Hatters

21

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Central Arkansas Bears drought cost

1 drought • 4 pts drought cost

4

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Stetson Hatters drought cost

2 droughts • 17 pts drought cost

17

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Central Arkansas Bears

Central Arkansas Bears

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 23 → 26 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Luke Moore makes 26-foot three point jumper (Javion Guy-King assists)

3-Pointer

3:10

4.0 pts

Stetson Hatters

Stetson Hatters

2
2nd HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 43 → 44 · Opponent scored 14 pts

Ended by: Calvin Sirmans III makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

5:32

14.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 16 → 18 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Collin Kuhl makes 1-foot dunk (Finley Sheridan assists)

2-Pointer

3:00

3.0 pts