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Thursday, February 19, 2026

Conference game
Stetson HattersStetson Hatters

76

vs
Central Arkansas BearsCentral Arkansas Bears

88

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Stetson Hatters

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~14→34

+20

Central Arkansas Bears

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~8→10

+2

Stetson Hatters averages 1 droughts/game  · Central Arkansas Bears forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

Stetson Hatters droughts

1

Central Arkansas Bears droughts

4:06

Longest drought

Stetson Hatters

44

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Central Arkansas Bears drought cost

1 drought • 10 pts drought cost

10

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Stetson Hatters drought cost

3 droughts • 34 pts drought cost

34

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Stetson Hatters

Stetson Hatters

3
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 16 → 19 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Calvin Sirmans III makes 26-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

4:06

11.0 pts

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 3 → 5 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Matar Diop makes 0-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

4:02

10.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 24 → 25 · Opponent scored 13 pts

Ended by: Jake Johnson makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:47

13.0 pts

Central Arkansas Bears

Central Arkansas Bears

1
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 71 → 72 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Malchiah Marable makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:05

10.0 pts