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Wednesday, December 3, 2025

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Central Arkansas Bears

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~10→13

+3

Little Rock Trojans

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:10

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~12→18

+6

Central Arkansas Bears averages 2 droughts/game  · Little Rock Trojans forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Central Arkansas Bears droughts

1

Little Rock Trojans droughts

7:15

Longest drought

Little Rock Trojans

31

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Central Arkansas Bears drought cost

2 droughts • 13 pts drought cost

13

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Little Rock Trojans drought cost

1 drought • 18 pts drought cost

18

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Central Arkansas Bears

Central Arkansas Bears

2
2nd Halfcritical

Score: 83 → 85 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Parker Applegate made Layup. Assisted by Ethan Thomas.

2-Pointer

5:04

8.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 53 → 54 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Ty Robinson made Free Throw.

Free Throw

3:05

5.0 pts

Little Rock Trojans

Little Rock Trojans

1
1st Halfcritical

Score: 2 → 3 · Opponent scored 18 pts

Ended by: Braxton Bayless made Free Throw.

Free Throw

7:15

18.0 pts