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Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Conference game
Central Arkansas BearsCentral Arkansas Bears

84

vs
Bellarmine KnightsBellarmine Knights

76

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Central Arkansas Bears

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~10→2

-8

Bellarmine Knights

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:45

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~12→13

+1

Central Arkansas Bears averages 2 droughts/game  · Bellarmine Knights forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Central Arkansas Bears droughts

2

Bellarmine Knights droughts

3:33

Longest drought

Bellarmine Knights

15

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Bellarmine Knights drought cost

2 droughts • 13 pts drought cost

13

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Central Arkansas Bears drought cost

1 drought • 2 pts drought cost

2

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Central Arkansas Bears

Central Arkansas Bears

1
1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 33 → 34 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Malchiah Marable makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:02

2.0 pts

Bellarmine Knights

Bellarmine Knights

2
1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 32 → 33 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Brian Waddell makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:33

10.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 21 → 24 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Kenyon Goodin makes 24-foot three point jumper (Jack Karasinski assists)

3-Pointer

3:14

3.0 pts