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Saturday, January 24, 2026

Conference game
SMU MustangsSMU Mustangs

83

vs
Florida State SeminolesFlorida State Seminoles

80

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

SMU Mustangs

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~9→17

+8

Florida State Seminoles

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:42

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~8→7

-1

SMU Mustangs averages 1 droughts/game  · Florida State Seminoles forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

SMU Mustangs droughts

1

Florida State Seminoles droughts

3:31

Longest drought

SMU Mustangs

24

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Florida State Seminoles drought cost

1 drought • 7 pts drought cost

7

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

SMU Mustangs drought cost

2 droughts • 17 pts drought cost

17

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
SMU Mustangs

SMU Mustangs

2
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 49 → 52 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Jermaine O'Neal Jr. makes 22-foot three point jumper (Jaden Toombs assists)

3-Pointer

3:31

10.0 pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 17 → 19 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Samet Yigitoglu makes layup

2-Pointer

3:16

7.0 pts

Florida State Seminoles

Florida State Seminoles

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 50 → 53 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Cam Miles makes 23-foot three point jumper (Robert McCray V assists)

3-Pointer

3:00

7.0 pts