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Florida State Seminoles

Florida State Seminoles

ACCP4

2025-26 Drought Profile · 21 games played · 18-15 (55%)

Florida State Seminoles ranks 11th of 18 ACC teams in droughts per game (1.81 dpg, above the ACC average of 1.79). Their droughts average 3:42 — near the ACC norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 7.4 pts per drought, contributing to 6 influenced losses this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.81

Conf avg: 1.8 · #11 of 18 in ACC

11th in ACC

+0.02/game vs ACC avg

#11 in ACC (18 teams)

Avg Duration

3:42

Conf avg: 226.6 · #7 of 18 in ACC

-0:05 vs ACC avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

7.4

Conf avg: 7.0 · #14 of 18 in ACC

+0.4 pts vs ACC avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

6

0 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

34%

Coach called a timeout in 13 of 38 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

5-8

vs 13-7 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.8 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 38 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
20
droughts · avg 3:40
2nd Half
18
droughts · avg 3:45
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
28
74% of droughts
6.8 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
8
21% of droughts
8 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
2
5% of droughts
13.5 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6.8 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
8 pts
Critical (5+ min)
13.5 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 99% more points than notable ones (13.5 vs 6.8 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(29%)2-PT(47%)FT(24%)
3-Ptr (11, 29%)2-Ptr (18, 47%)FT (9, 24%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 12
Duke Blue Devils@ Duke Blue Devils
L 79–80
Mar 11
California Golden Bearsvs California Golden Bears
W 95–89
Mar 7
SMU Mustangsvs SMU Mustangs
W 91–78
Mar 4
Pittsburgh Panthers@ Pittsburgh Panthers
W 75–74
Feb 28
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
W 80–71
Feb 24
Miami Hurricanesvs Miami Hurricanes
L 73–83
Feb 21
Clemson Tigers@ Clemson Tigers
W 70–65
Feb 17
Boston College Eaglesvs Boston College Eagles
W 80–72
Feb 14
Virginia Tech Hokies@ Virginia Tech Hokies
W 92–69
Feb 10
Virginia Cavaliersvs Virginia Cavaliers
L 58–61
Feb 7
Notre Dame Fighting Irish@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
W 82–79
Jan 31
Stanford Cardinalvs Stanford Cardinal
W 88–80
Jan 28
California Golden Bearsvs California Golden Bears
W 63–61
Jan 24
SMU Mustangs@ SMU Mustangs
L 80–83
Jan 20
Miami Hurricanes@ Miami Hurricanes
W 65–63
Jan 17
Wake Forest Demon Deaconsvs Wake Forest Demon Deacons
L 68–69
Jan 13
Syracuse Orange@ Syracuse Orange
L 86–94
Jan 10
NC State Wolfpackvs NC State Wolfpack
L 69–113
Jan 3
Duke Blue Devilsvs Duke Blue Devils
L 87–91
Dec 30
North Carolina Tar Heels@ North Carolina Tar Heels
L 66–79
Dec 22
Jacksonville Dolphinsvs Jacksonville Dolphins
W 87–63
Dec 19
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devilsvs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
W 96–49
Dec 16
Dayton Flyers@ Dayton Flyers
L 69–97
Dec 13
Massachusetts Minutemenvs Massachusetts Minutemen
L 95–103
Dec 6
Houston Cougars@ Houston Cougars
L 67–82
Dec 2
Georgia Bulldogsvs Georgia Bulldogs
L 73–107
Nov 28
Texas A&M Aggiesvs Texas A&M Aggies
L 59–95
Nov 25
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunnersvs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
W 89–59
Nov 21
Georgia Southern Eaglesvs Georgia Southern Eagles
W 98–72
Nov 18
UT Martin Skyhawksvs UT Martin Skyhawks
W 87–73
Nov 11
Florida Gators@ Florida Gators
L 76–78
Nov 7
Alabama State Hornetsvs Alabama State Hornets
W 101–64
Nov 4
Alcorn State Bravesvs Alcorn State Braves
W 108–76
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 12Duke Blue Devils@ Duke Blue DevilsL 80-79
1
Mar 11California Golden Bearsvs California Golden BearsW 95-890
Mar 7SMU Mustangsvs SMU MustangsW 91-780
Mar 4Pittsburgh Panthers@ Pittsburgh PanthersW 74-75
4
Feb 28Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets@ Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsW 71-80
1
Feb 24Miami Hurricanesvs Miami HurricanesL 73-83
1
Feb 21Clemson Tigers@ Clemson TigersW 65-70
2
Feb 17Boston College Eaglesvs Boston College EaglesW 80-72
2
Feb 14Virginia Tech Hokies@ Virginia Tech HokiesW 69-920
Feb 10Virginia Cavaliersvs Virginia CavaliersL 58-61
2
Feb 7Notre Dame Fighting Irish@ Notre Dame Fighting IrishW 79-82
2
Jan 31Stanford Cardinalvs Stanford CardinalW 88-800
Jan 28California Golden Bearsvs California Golden BearsW 63-61
2
Jan 24SMU Mustangs@ SMU MustangsL 83-80
1
Jan 20Miami Hurricanes@ Miami HurricanesW 63-650
Jan 17Wake Forest Demon Deaconsvs Wake Forest Demon DeaconsL 68-69
2
Jan 13Syracuse Orange@ Syracuse OrangeL 94-860
Jan 10NC State Wolfpackvs NC State WolfpackL 69-113
2
Jan 3Duke Blue Devilsvs Duke Blue DevilsL 87-91
1
Dec 30North Carolina Tar Heels@ North Carolina Tar HeelsL 79-66
2
Dec 22Jacksonville Dolphinsvs Jacksonville DolphinsW 87-630
Dec 19Mississippi Valley State Delta Devilsvs Mississippi Valley State Delta DevilsW 96-490
Dec 16Dayton Flyers@ Dayton FlyersL 97-69
2
Dec 13Massachusetts Minutemenvs Massachusetts MinutemenL 95-1030
Dec 6Houston Cougars@ Houston CougarsL 82-67
3
Dec 2Georgia Bulldogsvs Georgia BulldogsL 73-107
3
Nov 28Texas A&M Aggiesvs Texas A&M AggiesL 59-95
2
Nov 25Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunnersvs Cal State Bakersfield RoadrunnersW 89-590
Nov 21Georgia Southern Eaglesvs Georgia Southern EaglesW 98-72
1
Nov 18UT Martin Skyhawksvs UT Martin SkyhawksW 87-730
Nov 11Florida Gators@ Florida GatorsL 78-76
1
Nov 7Alabama State Hornetsvs Alabama State HornetsW 101-640
Nov 4Alcorn State Bravesvs Alcorn State BravesW 108-76
1
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
Houston Cougars@ Houston CougarsL 67-82Dec 6
20 pts allowed during 3 droughts (24.4% of 15-pt margin)
Significant Factor
North Carolina Tar Heels@ North Carolina Tar HeelsL 66-79Dec 30
14 pts allowed during 2 droughts (17.7% of 13-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Wake Forest Demon Deaconsvs Wake Forest Demon DeaconsL 68-69Jan 17
13 pts allowed during 2 droughts (18.8% of 1-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Duke Blue Devils@ Duke Blue DevilsL 79-80Mar 12
12 pts allowed during 1 drought (15% of 1-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Florida Gators@ Florida GatorsL 76-78Nov 11
11 pts allowed during 1 drought (14.1% of 2-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Virginia Cavaliersvs Virginia CavaliersL 58-61Feb 10
10 pts allowed during 2 droughts (16.4% of 3-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Florida State Seminoles scoring droughts this season.
1
LJ
Lajae Jones
50% clutchⓘ
8
2
RV
Robert McCray V
0% clutchⓘ
7
3
KM
Kobe MaGee
50% clutchⓘ
6
4
AS
Alex Steen
83% clutchⓘ
6
5
CM
Cam Miles
33% clutchⓘ
3
6
CW
Chauncey Wiggins
2
7
MS
Martin Somerville
2
8
TB
Thomas Bassong
2
3PT
2PT
FT