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Saturday, March 7, 2026

Conference game
Florida State SeminolesFlorida State Seminoles

91

vs
SMU MustangsSMU Mustangs

78

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Florida State Seminoles

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:42

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ No drought as predicted

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts ceded

~8→0

-8

SMU Mustangs

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~1→3

+2

Pts ceded

~9→24

+15

Florida State Seminoles averages 1 droughts/game  · SMU Mustangs forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

0

Florida State Seminoles droughts

3

SMU Mustangs droughts

3:56

Longest drought

SMU Mustangs

24

Drought point swing

Total unanswered points during droughts

SMU Mustangs drought impact

3 droughts • 24 unanswered points allowed

24

Points allowed during droughts

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Florida State Seminoles

Florida State Seminoles

0

No notable droughts

SMU Mustangs

SMU Mustangs

3
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 55 → 57 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Samet Yigitoglu makes 0-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

3:56

15.7 opp pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 18 → 21 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Jaron Pierre Jr. makes 24-foot three point jumper (Boopie Miller assists)

3-Pointer

3:46

18.3 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2 → 4 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Corey Washington makes 0-foot tip in dunk

2-Pointer

3:07

11.1 opp pts