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Saturday, January 10, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Duke Blue Devils

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:29

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 5 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~5→6

+1

SMU Mustangs

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than predicted

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~14→10

-4

Duke Blue Devils averages 1 droughts/game  · SMU Mustangs forces 1 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Duke Blue Devils droughts

1

SMU Mustangs droughts

5:23

Longest drought

SMU Mustangs

16

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Duke Blue Devils drought cost

1 drought • 6 pts drought cost

6

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

SMU Mustangs drought cost

1 drought • 10 pts drought cost

10

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Duke Blue Devils

Duke Blue Devils

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 69 → 70 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Patrick Ngongba II makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:55

6.0 pts

SMU Mustangs

SMU Mustangs

1
1st Halfcritical

Score: 17 → 19 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Samet Yigitoglu makes layup

2-Pointer

5:23

10.0 pts