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Tuesday, February 17, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

SMU Mustangs

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Predicted drought — none occurred

Droughts

~10

-1

Pts Ceded

~100

-10

Louisville Cardinals

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:36

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~12

+1

Pts Ceded

~812

+4

SMU Mustangs averages 1droughts/game  · Louisville Cardinals forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

2

Both teams combined

SMU Mustangs Droughts

0

Louisville Cardinals Droughts

2

Longest Drought

3:19

Louisville Cardinals

Drought Point Swing

12

Total unanswered points during droughts

Louisville Cardinals Drought Impact

2 droughts12 unanswered points allowed

12

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
SMU Mustangs

SMU Mustangs

0

No notable droughts

Louisville Cardinals

Louisville Cardinals

2
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 6062 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Mikel Brown Jr. makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:19

11.0 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 58 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Adrian Wooley makes 22-foot three point jumper (Aly Khalifa assists)

3-Pointer

3:03

14.5 opp pts