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Tuesday, February 17, 2026

Conference game
SMU MustangsSMU Mustangs

95

vs
Louisville CardinalsLouisville Cardinals

85

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

SMU Mustangs

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Predicted drought, none occurred

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts ceded

~10→0

-10

Louisville Cardinals

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:36

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~8→12

+4

SMU Mustangs averages 1 droughts/game  · Louisville Cardinals forces 2 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

0

SMU Mustangs droughts

2

Louisville Cardinals droughts

3:19

Longest drought

Louisville Cardinals

12

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Louisville Cardinals drought cost

2 droughts • 12 pts drought cost

12

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
SMU Mustangs

SMU Mustangs

0

No notable droughts

Louisville Cardinals

Louisville Cardinals

2
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 60 → 62 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Mikel Brown Jr. makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:19

4.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 5 → 8 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Adrian Wooley makes 22-foot three point jumper (Aly Khalifa assists)

3-Pointer

3:03

8.0 pts