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Saturday, January 3, 2026

Conference game
SMU MustangsSMU Mustangs

97

vs
North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina Tar Heels

83

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

SMU Mustangs

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Predicted drought, none occurred

Droughts

~2→0

-2

Pts ceded

~11→0

-11

North Carolina Tar Heels

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~8→11

+3

SMU Mustangs averages 1 droughts/game  · North Carolina Tar Heels forces 2 opp. droughts/game

1

Total droughts

Both teams combined

0

SMU Mustangs droughts

1

North Carolina Tar Heels droughts

4:25

Longest drought

North Carolina Tar Heels

11

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

North Carolina Tar Heels drought cost

1 drought • 11 pts drought cost

11

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
SMU Mustangs

SMU Mustangs

0

No notable droughts

North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina Tar Heels

1
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 4 → 7 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Derek Dixon makes 22-foot three point jumper (Seth Trimble assists)

3-Pointer

4:25

11.0 pts