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Saturday, January 31, 2026

Conference game
Louisville CardinalsLouisville Cardinals

88

vs
SMU MustangsSMU Mustangs

74

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Louisville Cardinals

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:36

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Expected a drought, none occurred

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts ceded

~8→0

-8

SMU Mustangs

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~10→13

+3

Louisville Cardinals averages 1 droughts/game  · SMU Mustangs forces 1 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

0

Louisville Cardinals droughts

2

SMU Mustangs droughts

3:42

Longest drought

SMU Mustangs

13

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

SMU Mustangs drought cost

2 droughts • 13 pts drought cost

13

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Louisville Cardinals

Louisville Cardinals

0

No notable droughts

SMU Mustangs

SMU Mustangs

2
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 49 → 51 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Boopie Miller makes 13-foot step back jumpshot

2-Pointer

3:42

5.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 53 → 56 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Sam Walters makes 26-foot three point jumper (Boopie Miller assists)

3-Pointer

3:19

8.0 pts