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Tuesday, February 10, 2026

Conference game
SMU MustangsSMU Mustangs

89

vs
Notre Dame Fighting IrishNotre Dame Fighting Irish

81

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

SMU Mustangs

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~10→14

+4

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:35

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~8→14

+6

SMU Mustangs averages 1 droughts/game  · Notre Dame Fighting Irish forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

SMU Mustangs droughts

1

Notre Dame Fighting Irish droughts

4:53

Longest drought

SMU Mustangs

28

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish drought cost

1 drought • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

SMU Mustangs drought cost

2 droughts • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
SMU Mustangs

SMU Mustangs

2
1H → 2Hsignificant

Score: 43 → 45 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Samet Yigitoglu makes 7-foot hook shot (B.J. Edwards assists)

2-Pointer

4:53

8.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 32 → 34 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Jaron Pierre Jr. makes 2-foot alley oop dunk (Boopie Miller assists)

2-Pointer

3:03

6.0 pts

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

1
2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 50 → 53 · Opponent scored 14 pts

Ended by: Braeden Shrewsberry makes 27-foot three point jumper (Logan Imes assists)

3-Pointer

4:00

14.0 pts