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Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Conference game
Louisville CardinalsLouisville Cardinals

62

vs
SMU MustangsSMU Mustangs

58

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Louisville Cardinals

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:36

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~8→14

+6

SMU Mustangs

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~10→7

-3

Louisville Cardinals averages 1 droughts/game  · SMU Mustangs forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Louisville Cardinals droughts

2

SMU Mustangs droughts

4:16

Longest drought

Louisville Cardinals

21

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Louisville Cardinals drought cost

2 droughts • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

SMU Mustangs drought cost

2 droughts • 7 pts drought cost

7

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Louisville Cardinals

Louisville Cardinals

2
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 7 → 9 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Ryan Conwell makes 13-foot pullup jump shot

2-Pointer

4:16

6.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 26 → 29 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Ryan Conwell makes 23-foot three point step back jumpshot (Isaac McKneely assists)

3-Pointer

3:38

8.0 pts

SMU Mustangs

SMU Mustangs

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 14 → 16 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Boopie Miller makes 13-foot pullup jump shot

2-Pointer

3:17

4.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 41 → 43 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Samet Yigitoglu makes 5-foot hook shot

2-Pointer

3:04

3.0 pts