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Illinois State Redbirds

Illinois State Redbirds

Missouri ValleyOTHER

2025-26 Drought Profile · 25 games played · 20-12 (63%)

Illinois State Redbirds ranks 8th of 11 Missouri Valley teams in droughts per game (1.88 dpg, above the Missouri Valley average of 1.80). Their droughts average 3:50 — 0:08 below the Missouri Valley norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 7.0 pts per drought, contributing to 7 influenced losses (3 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.88

Conf avg: 1.8 · #8 of 11 in Missouri Valley

8th in Missouri Valley

+0.08/game vs Missouri Valley avg

#8 in Missouri Valley (11 teams)

Avg Duration

3:50

Conf avg: 237.1 · #3 of 11 in Missouri Valley

-0:08 vs Missouri Valley avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

7.0

Conf avg: 7.1 · #5 of 11 in Missouri Valley

-0.2 pts vs Missouri Valley avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

7

3 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

28%

Coach called a timeout in 13 of 47 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

6-7

vs 14-5 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.9 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 47 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
30
droughts · avg 3:51
2nd Half
17
droughts · avg 3:48
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
31
66% of droughts
6.3 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
13
28% of droughts
7.7 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
3
6% of droughts
10.7 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6.3 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
7.7 pts
Critical (5+ min)
10.7 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 70% more points than notable ones (10.7 vs 6.3 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(17%)2-PT(57%)FT(26%)
3-Ptr (8, 17%)2-Ptr (27, 57%)FT (12, 26%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 6
Northern Iowa Panthersvs Northern Iowa Panthers
L 52–74
Mar 1
Belmont Bruinsvs Belmont Bruins
W 81–74
Feb 25
Northern Iowa Panthers@ Northern Iowa Panthers
W 71–69
Feb 21
Bradley Braves@ Bradley Braves
L 60–74
Feb 18
Murray State Racersvs Murray State Racers
W 78–61
Feb 15
UIC Flames@ UIC Flames
L 56–83
Feb 12
Valparaiso Beaconsvs Valparaiso Beacons
W 86–64
Feb 9
Evansville Purple Aces@ Evansville Purple Aces
L 80–88
Feb 6
Drake Bulldogsvs Drake Bulldogs
W 86–76
Feb 3
Southern Illinois Salukisvs Southern Illinois Salukis
L 50–54
Jan 28
Murray State Racers@ Murray State Racers
W 70–65
Jan 24
Belmont Bruins@ Belmont Bruins
L 69–80
Jan 21
Northern Iowa Panthersvs Northern Iowa Panthers
W 59–54
Jan 17
Bradley Bravesvs Bradley Braves
W 88–62
Jan 14
Indiana State Sycamores@ Indiana State Sycamores
L 89–94
Jan 10
UIC Flamesvs UIC Flames
L 59–63
Jan 7
Valparaiso Beacons@ Valparaiso Beacons
L 71–77
Jan 1
Evansville Purple Acesvs Evansville Purple Aces
W 73–47
Dec 29
Drake Bulldogs@ Drake Bulldogs
W 73–56
Dec 21
Indiana State Sycamoresvs Indiana State Sycamores
W 85–65
Dec 18
Southern Illinois Salukis@ Southern Illinois Salukis
W 75–68
Dec 13
Utah State Aggies@ Utah State Aggies
L 78–83
Dec 6
Chicago State Cougarsvs Chicago State Cougars
W 95–53
Dec 3
Eastern Kentucky Colonelsvs Eastern Kentucky Colonels
W 89–78
Nov 28
Furman Paladinsvs Furman Paladins
W 72–65
Nov 27
Charlotte 49ersvs Charlotte 49ers
W 79–69
Nov 23
Coastal Carolina Chanticleersvs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
W 94–42
Nov 20
vs Rockford Regents
W 93–48
Nov 16
Long Beach State Beach@ Long Beach State Beach
W 82–80
Nov 14
USC Trojans@ USC Trojans
L 67–87
Nov 9
Cornell Big Redvs Cornell Big Red
W 76–65
Nov 6
Ohio Bobcats@ Ohio Bobcats
L 68–72
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 6Northern Iowa Panthersvs Northern Iowa PanthersL 52-74
2
Mar 1Belmont Bruinsvs Belmont BruinsW 81-74
1
Feb 25Northern Iowa Panthers@ Northern Iowa PanthersW 69-71
2
Feb 21Bradley Braves@ Bradley BravesL 74-60
2
Feb 18Murray State Racersvs Murray State RacersW 78-610
Feb 15UIC Flames@ UIC FlamesL 83-56
3
Feb 12Valparaiso Beaconsvs Valparaiso BeaconsW 86-64
2
Feb 9Evansville Purple Aces@ Evansville Purple AcesL 88-80
1
Feb 6Drake Bulldogsvs Drake BulldogsW 86-76
1
Feb 3Southern Illinois Salukisvs Southern Illinois SalukisL 50-54
4
Jan 28Murray State Racers@ Murray State RacersW 65-700
Jan 24Belmont Bruins@ Belmont BruinsL 80-69
3
Jan 21Northern Iowa Panthersvs Northern Iowa PanthersW 59-54
3
Jan 17Bradley Bravesvs Bradley BravesW 88-620
Jan 14Indiana State Sycamores@ Indiana State SycamoresL 94-89
1
Jan 10UIC Flamesvs UIC FlamesL 59-63
5
Jan 7Valparaiso Beacons@ Valparaiso BeaconsL 77-71
1
Jan 1Evansville Purple Acesvs Evansville Purple AcesW 73-47
2
Dec 29Drake Bulldogs@ Drake BulldogsW 56-73
1
Dec 21Indiana State Sycamoresvs Indiana State SycamoresW 85-650
Dec 18Southern Illinois Salukis@ Southern Illinois SalukisW 68-75
1
Dec 13Utah State Aggies@ Utah State AggiesL 83-78
1
Dec 6Chicago State Cougarsvs Chicago State CougarsW 95-530
Dec 3Eastern Kentucky Colonelsvs Eastern Kentucky ColonelsW 89-780
Nov 28Furman Paladinsvs Furman PaladinsW 72-65
3
Nov 27Charlotte 49ersvs Charlotte 49ersW 79-69
1
Nov 23Coastal Carolina Chanticleersvs Coastal Carolina ChanticleersW 94-420
Nov 20vs Rockford RegentsW 93-48
1
Nov 16Long Beach State Beach@ Long Beach State BeachW 80-82
2
Nov 14USC Trojans@ USC TrojansL 87-67
2
Nov 9Cornell Big Redvs Cornell Big RedW 76-65
1
Nov 6Ohio Bobcats@ Ohio BobcatsL 72-68
1
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
UIC Flamesvs UIC FlamesL 59-63Jan 10
36 pts allowed during 5 droughts (57.1% of 4-pt margin)
Decisive Factor
Belmont Bruins@ Belmont BruinsL 69-80Jan 24
29 pts allowed during 3 droughts (36.3% of 11-pt margin)
Major Factor
Bradley Braves@ Bradley BravesL 60-74Feb 21
17 pts allowed during 2 droughts (23% of 14-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Southern Illinois Salukisvs Southern Illinois SalukisL 50-54Feb 3
16 pts allowed during 4 droughts (29.6% of 4-pt margin)
Major Factor
Ohio Bobcats@ Ohio BobcatsL 68-72Nov 6
13 pts allowed during 1 drought (18.1% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Evansville Purple Aces@ Evansville Purple AcesL 80-88Feb 9
8 pts allowed during 1 drought (9.1% of 8-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Indiana State Sycamores@ Indiana State SycamoresL 89-94Jan 14
8 pts allowed during 1 drought (8.5% of 5-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Illinois State Redbirds scoring droughts this season.
1
CW
Chase Walker
55% clutchⓘ
11
2
JK
Johnny Kinziger
22% clutchⓘ
9
3
TP
Ty Pence
14% clutchⓘ
7
4
TC
Ty'Reek Coleman
29% clutchⓘ
7
5
LW
Landon Wolf
33% clutchⓘ
6
6
BS
Boden Skunberg
2
7
LM
Landon Moore
2
3PT
2PT
FT