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Friday, November 14, 2025

USC TrojansUSC Trojans

87

vs
Illinois State RedbirdsIllinois State Redbirds

67

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

USC Trojans

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:45

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Expected a drought, none occurred

Droughts

~2→0

-2

Pts ceded

~12→0

-12

Illinois State Redbirds

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~10→24

+14

USC Trojans averages 1 droughts/game  · Illinois State Redbirds forces 2 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

0

USC Trojans droughts

2

Illinois State Redbirds droughts

6:36

Longest drought

Illinois State Redbirds

24

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Illinois State Redbirds drought cost

2 droughts • 24 pts drought cost

24

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
USC Trojans

USC Trojans

0

No notable droughts

Illinois State Redbirds

Illinois State Redbirds

2
1st Halfcritical

Score: 15 → 17 · Opponent scored 15 pts

Ended by: Ty Pence made Layup.

2-Pointer

6:36

15.0 pts

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 7 → 8 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Landon Wolf made Free Throw.

Free Throw

4:46

9.0 pts