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USC Trojans

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2025-26 Drought Profile · 21 games played · 17-14 (55%)

USC Trojans ranks 11th of 18 Big Ten teams in droughts per game (1.81 dpg, above the Big Ten average of 1.76). Their droughts average 3:45 — 0:07 below the Big Ten norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 7.5 pts per drought, contributing to 7 influenced losses (2 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.81

Conf avg: 1.8 · #11 of 18 in Big Ten

11th in Big Ten

+0.05/game vs Big Ten avg

#11 in Big Ten (18 teams)

Avg Duration

3:45

Conf avg: 231.9 · #4 of 18 in Big Ten

-0:07 vs Big Ten avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

7.5

Conf avg: 7.2 · #16 of 18 in Big Ten

+0.4 pts vs Big Ten avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

7

2 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

16%

Coach called a timeout in 6 of 38 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

3-8

vs 14-6 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.8 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 38 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
21
droughts · avg 3:48
2nd Half
17
droughts · avg 3:41
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
27
71% of droughts
6.8 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
8
21% of droughts
8.8 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
3
8% of droughts
10.7 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6.8 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
8.8 pts
Critical (5+ min)
10.7 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 57% more points than notable ones (10.7 vs 6.8 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(11%)2-PT(71%)FT(18%)
3-Ptr (4, 11%)2-Ptr (27, 71%)FT (7, 18%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 11
Washington Huskies@ Washington Huskies
L 79–83
Mar 7
UCLA Bruinsvs UCLA Bruins
L 68–89
Mar 4
Washington Huskies@ Washington Huskies
L 60–67
Feb 28
Nebraska Cornhuskersvs Nebraska Cornhuskers
L 67–82
Feb 24
UCLA Bruins@ UCLA Bruins
L 62–81
Feb 21
Oregon Ducksvs Oregon Ducks
L 70–71
Feb 18
Illinois Fighting Illinivs Illinois Fighting Illini
L 65–101
Feb 11
Ohio State Buckeyes@ Ohio State Buckeyes
L 82–89
Feb 8
Penn State Nittany Lions@ Penn State Nittany Lions
W 77–75
Feb 3
Indiana Hoosiersvs Indiana Hoosiers
W 81–75
Jan 31
Rutgers Scarlet Knightsvs Rutgers Scarlet Knights
W 78–75
Jan 28
Iowa Hawkeyes@ Iowa Hawkeyes
L 72–73
Jan 25
Wisconsin Badgers@ Wisconsin Badgers
W 73–71
Jan 21
Northwestern Wildcatsvs Northwestern Wildcats
L 68–74
Jan 17
Purdue Boilermakersvs Purdue Boilermakers
L 64–69
Jan 13
Maryland Terrapinsvs Maryland Terrapins
W 88–71
Jan 9
Minnesota Golden Gophers@ Minnesota Golden Gophers
W 70–69
Jan 5
Michigan State Spartans@ Michigan State Spartans
L 51–80
Jan 2
Michigan Wolverines@ Michigan Wolverines
L 66–96
Dec 21
vs UC Santa Cruz Banana Slugs
W 102–63
Dec 17
UTSA Roadrunnersvs UTSA Roadrunners
W 97–70
Dec 14
Washington State Cougarsvs Washington State Cougars
W 68–61
Dec 9
San Diego Toreros@ San Diego Toreros
W 94–81
Dec 6
Washington Huskiesvs Washington Huskies
L 76–84
Dec 2
Oregon Ducks@ Oregon Ducks
W 82–77
Nov 26
Arizona State Sun Devils@ Arizona State Sun Devils
W 88–75
Nov 25
Seton Hall Piratesvs Seton Hall Pirates
W 83–81
Nov 24
Boise State Broncos@ Boise State Broncos
W 70–67
Nov 20
Troy Trojansvs Troy Trojans
W 107–106
Nov 14
Illinois State Redbirdsvs Illinois State Redbirds
W 87–67
Nov 9
Manhattan Jaspersvs Manhattan Jaspers
W 114–83
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 11Washington Huskies@ Washington HuskiesL 83-79
2
Mar 7UCLA Bruinsvs UCLA BruinsL 68-89
1
Mar 4Washington Huskies@ Washington HuskiesL 67-60
1
Feb 28Nebraska Cornhuskersvs Nebraska CornhuskersL 67-82
1
Feb 24UCLA Bruins@ UCLA BruinsL 81-62
3
Feb 21Oregon Ducksvs Oregon DucksL 70-71
1
Feb 18Illinois Fighting Illinivs Illinois Fighting IlliniL 65-101
2
Feb 11Ohio State Buckeyes@ Ohio State BuckeyesL 89-82
1
Feb 8Penn State Nittany Lions@ Penn State Nittany LionsW 75-77
1
Feb 3Indiana Hoosiersvs Indiana HoosiersW 81-75
1
Jan 31Rutgers Scarlet Knightsvs Rutgers Scarlet KnightsW 78-750
Jan 28Iowa Hawkeyes@ Iowa HawkeyesL 73-72
2
Jan 25Wisconsin Badgers@ Wisconsin BadgersW 71-73
1
Jan 21Northwestern Wildcatsvs Northwestern WildcatsL 68-74
1
Jan 17Purdue Boilermakersvs Purdue BoilermakersL 64-69
2
Jan 13Maryland Terrapinsvs Maryland TerrapinsW 88-710
Jan 9Minnesota Golden Gophers@ Minnesota Golden GophersW 69-70
3
Jan 5Michigan State Spartans@ Michigan State SpartansL 80-51
3
Jan 2Michigan Wolverines@ Michigan WolverinesL 96-66
2
Dec 21vs UC Santa Cruz Banana SlugsW 102-630
Dec 17UTSA Roadrunnersvs UTSA RoadrunnersW 97-700
Dec 14Washington State Cougarsvs Washington State CougarsW 68-61
2
Dec 9San Diego Toreros@ San Diego TorerosW 81-940
Dec 6Washington Huskiesvs Washington HuskiesL 76-84
3
Dec 2Oregon Ducks@ Oregon DucksW 77-82
1
Nov 26Arizona State Sun Devils@ Arizona State Sun DevilsW 75-880
Nov 25Seton Hall Piratesvs Seton Hall PiratesW 83-810
Nov 24Boise State Broncos@ Boise State BroncosW 67-70
4
Nov 20Troy Trojansvs Troy TrojansW 107-1060
Nov 14Illinois State Redbirdsvs Illinois State RedbirdsW 87-670
Nov 9Manhattan Jaspersvs Manhattan JaspersW 114-830
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
Washington Huskiesvs Washington HuskiesL 76-84Dec 6
31 pts allowed during 3 droughts (36.9% of 8-pt margin)
Major Factor
Purdue Boilermakersvs Purdue BoilermakersL 64-69Jan 17
18 pts allowed during 2 droughts (26.1% of 5-pt margin)
Major Factor
Washington Huskies@ Washington HuskiesL 79-83Mar 11
17 pts allowed during 2 droughts (20.5% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Nebraska Cornhuskersvs Nebraska CornhuskersL 67-82Feb 28
15 pts allowed during 1 drought (18.3% of 15-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Washington Huskies@ Washington HuskiesL 60-67Mar 4
10 pts allowed during 1 drought (14.9% of 7-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Iowa Hawkeyes@ Iowa HawkeyesL 72-73Jan 28
10 pts allowed during 2 droughts (13.7% of 1-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Ohio State Buckeyes@ Ohio State BuckeyesL 82-89Feb 11
9 pts allowed during 1 drought (10.1% of 7-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended USC Trojans scoring droughts this season.
1
EA
Ezra Ausar
46% clutchⓘ
13
2
KW
Kam Woods
20% clutchⓘ
5
3
JM
Jordan Marsh
75% clutchⓘ
4
4
AA
Alijah Arenas
50% clutchⓘ
4
5
GD
Gabe Dynes
33% clutchⓘ
3
6
JI
Jerry Easter II
2
7
CB
Chad Baker-Mazara
2
3PT
2PT
FT