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Monday, January 5, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Michigan State Spartans

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:56

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Better than predicted

Droughts

~21

-1

Pts Ceded

~103

-7

USC Trojans

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:45

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final Results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~23

+1

Pts Ceded

~1822

+4

Michigan State Spartans averages 2 droughts/game  · USC Trojans forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

4

Both teams combined

Michigan State Spartans Droughts

1

USC Trojans Droughts

3

Longest Drought

6:01

USC Trojans

Drought Point Swing

25

Total unanswered points during droughts

1 drought3 unanswered points allowed

3.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

USC Trojans Drought Impact

3 droughts22 unanswered points allowed

22.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State Spartans

1
1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 3334 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Coen Carr makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:12

9.4 opp pts

USC Trojans

USC Trojans

3
1st Halfcritical

Score: 57 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Jerry Easter II makes layup (Chad Baker-Mazara assists)

2-Pointer

6:01

17.7 opp pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 1113 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Ezra Ausar makes 6-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:24

12.3 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 4851 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Jaden Brownell makes 24-foot three point jumper (Jacob Cofie assists)

3-Pointer

3:00

7.8 opp pts