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Monday, January 5, 2026

Conference game
Michigan State SpartansMichigan State Spartans

80

vs
USC TrojansUSC Trojans

51

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Michigan State Spartans

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:53

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~8→3

-5

USC Trojans

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:45

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~12→22

+10

Michigan State Spartans averages 1 droughts/game  · USC Trojans forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Michigan State Spartans droughts

3

USC Trojans droughts

6:01

Longest drought

USC Trojans

25

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Michigan State Spartans drought cost

1 drought • 3 pts drought cost

3

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

USC Trojans drought cost

3 droughts • 22 pts drought cost

22

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State Spartans

1
1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 33 → 34 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Coen Carr makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:12

3.0 pts

USC Trojans

USC Trojans

3
1st Halfcritical

Score: 5 → 7 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Jerry Easter II makes layup (Chad Baker-Mazara assists)

2-Pointer

6:01

10.0 pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 11 → 13 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Ezra Ausar makes 6-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:24

8.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 48 → 51 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Jaden Brownell makes 24-foot three point jumper (Jacob Cofie assists)

3-Pointer

3:00

4.0 pts