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Wednesday, January 21, 2026

Conference game
USC TrojansUSC Trojans

68

vs
Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern Wildcats

74

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

USC Trojans

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:45

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~12→3

-9

Northwestern Wildcats

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:43

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~10→5

-5

USC Trojans averages 1 droughts/game  · Northwestern Wildcats forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

USC Trojans droughts

2

Northwestern Wildcats droughts

3:37

Longest drought

USC Trojans

8

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Northwestern Wildcats drought cost

2 droughts • 5 pts drought cost

5

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

USC Trojans drought cost

1 drought • 3 pts drought cost

3

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
USC Trojans

USC Trojans

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 25 → 27 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Ezra Ausar makes layup (Jordan Marsh assists)

2-Pointer

3:37

3.0 pts

Northwestern Wildcats

Northwestern Wildcats

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 25 → 28 · Opponent scored 1 pts

Ended by: Jake West makes 25-foot three point jumper (Nick Martinelli assists)

3-Pointer

3:28

1.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 11 → 13 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Jayden Reid makes 17-foot pullup jump shot

2-Pointer

3:11

4.0 pts