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Wednesday, February 18, 2026

Conference game
USC TrojansUSC Trojans

65

vs
Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois Fighting Illini

101

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

USC Trojans

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:45

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~16→20

+4

Illinois Fighting Illini

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:43

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 5 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ No drought, as expected

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts ceded

~5→0

-5

USC Trojans averages 1 droughts/game  · Illinois Fighting Illini forces 2 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

USC Trojans droughts

0

Illinois Fighting Illini droughts

4:02

Longest drought

USC Trojans

20

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

USC Trojans drought cost

2 droughts • 20 pts drought cost

20

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
USC Trojans

USC Trojans

2
2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 40 → 42 · Opponent scored 13 pts

Ended by: Kam Woods makes 6-foot floating jump shot

2-Pointer

4:02

13.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 49 → 51 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Ezra Ausar makes layup

2-Pointer

3:04

7.0 pts

Illinois Fighting Illini

Illinois Fighting Illini

0

No notable droughts