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Illinois Fighting Illini

Illinois Fighting Illini

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2025-26 Drought Profile · 14 games played · 23-8 (74%)

Illinois Fighting Illini ranks 2nd of 18 Big Ten teams in droughts per game (1.43 dpg, below the Big Ten average of 1.78). Their droughts average 3:360:17 below the Big Ten norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 6.8 pts per drought, contributing to 5 influenced losses this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.43

Conf avg: 1.8 · #2 of 18 in Big Ten

2nd in Big Ten

-0.35/game vs Big Ten avg

#2 in Big Ten (18 teams)

Avg Duration

3:36

Conf avg: 231.9 · #1 of 18 in Big Ten

-0:17 vs Big Ten avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

6.8

Conf avg: 7.2 · #4 of 18 in Big Ten

-0.5 pts vs Big Ten avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

5

0 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

5%

Coach called a timeout in 1 of 20 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

3-3

vs 20-5 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.4 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 20 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
13
droughts · avg 3:46
2nd Half
7
droughts · avg 3:18
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
16
80% of droughts
6.6 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
4
20% of droughts
7.5 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
0
0% of droughts

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6.6 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
7.5 pts
Critical (5+ min)

Key Takeaway

Significant droughts allow 14% more points than notable ones (7.5 vs 6.6 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(50%)2-PT(35%)FT(15%)
3-Ptr (10, 50%)2-Ptr (7, 35%)FT (3, 15%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 13
Wisconsin Badgersvs Wisconsin Badgers
L 8891
Mar 8
Maryland Terrapins@ Maryland Terrapins
W 7872
Mar 3
Oregon Ducksvs Oregon Ducks
W 8054
Feb 27
Michigan Wolverinesvs Michigan Wolverines
L 7084
Feb 21
UCLA Bruins@ UCLA Bruins
L 9495
Feb 18
USC Trojans@ USC Trojans
W 10165
Feb 15
Indiana Hoosiersvs Indiana Hoosiers
W 7151
Feb 10
Wisconsin Badgersvs Wisconsin Badgers
L 9092
Feb 7
Michigan State Spartans@ Michigan State Spartans
L 8285
Feb 4
Northwestern Wildcatsvs Northwestern Wildcats
W 8444
Feb 1
Nebraska Cornhuskers@ Nebraska Cornhuskers
W 7869
Jan 29
Washington Huskiesvs Washington Huskies
W 7566
Jan 24
Purdue Boilermakers@ Purdue Boilermakers
W 8882
Jan 21
Maryland Terrapinsvs Maryland Terrapins
W 8970
Jan 17
Minnesota Golden Gophersvs Minnesota Golden Gophers
W 7767
Jan 14
Northwestern Wildcats@ Northwestern Wildcats
W 7968
Jan 11
Iowa Hawkeyes@ Iowa Hawkeyes
W 7569
Jan 8
Rutgers Scarlet Knightsvs Rutgers Scarlet Knights
W 8155
Jan 3
Penn State Nittany Lions@ Penn State Nittany Lions
W 7365
Dec 29
Southern Jaguarsvs Southern Jaguars
W 9055
Dec 22
Missouri Tigersvs Missouri Tigers
W 9148
Dec 13
Nebraska Cornhuskersvs Nebraska Cornhuskers
L 8083
Dec 9
Ohio State Buckeyes@ Ohio State Buckeyes
W 8880
Dec 6
Tennessee Volunteers@ Tennessee Volunteers
W 7562
Nov 28
UConn Huskies@ UConn Huskies
L 6174
Nov 24
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosvs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
W 8773
Nov 22
Long Island University Sharksvs Long Island University Sharks
W 9858
Nov 19
Alabama Crimson Tidevs Alabama Crimson Tide
L 8690
Nov 14
Colgate Raidersvs Colgate Raiders
W 8465
Nov 11
Texas Tech Red Raidersvs Texas Tech Red Raiders
W 8177
Nov 7
Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesvs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
W 11370
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 13Wisconsin Badgersvs Wisconsin BadgersL 88-91
1
Mar 8Maryland Terrapins@ Maryland TerrapinsW 72-780
Mar 3Oregon Ducksvs Oregon DucksW 80-54
1
Feb 27Michigan Wolverinesvs Michigan WolverinesL 70-84
2
Feb 21UCLA Bruins@ UCLA BruinsL 95-940
Feb 18USC Trojans@ USC TrojansW 65-1010
Feb 15Indiana Hoosiersvs Indiana HoosiersW 71-510
Feb 10Wisconsin Badgersvs Wisconsin BadgersL 90-920
Feb 7Michigan State Spartans@ Michigan State SpartansL 85-82
1
Feb 4Northwestern Wildcatsvs Northwestern WildcatsW 84-440
Feb 1Nebraska Cornhuskers@ Nebraska CornhuskersW 69-780
Jan 29Washington Huskiesvs Washington HuskiesW 75-660
Jan 24Purdue Boilermakers@ Purdue BoilermakersW 82-88
1
Jan 21Maryland Terrapinsvs Maryland TerrapinsW 89-70
1
Jan 17Minnesota Golden Gophersvs Minnesota Golden GophersW 77-67
2
Jan 14Northwestern Wildcats@ Northwestern WildcatsW 68-79
2
Jan 11Iowa Hawkeyes@ Iowa HawkeyesW 69-75
1
Jan 8Rutgers Scarlet Knightsvs Rutgers Scarlet KnightsW 81-550
Jan 3Penn State Nittany Lions@ Penn State Nittany LionsW 65-73
2
Dec 29Southern Jaguarsvs Southern JaguarsW 90-55
1
Dec 22Missouri Tigersvs Missouri TigersW 91-480
Dec 13Nebraska Cornhuskersvs Nebraska CornhuskersL 80-83
2
Dec 9Ohio State Buckeyes@ Ohio State BuckeyesW 80-880
Dec 6Tennessee Volunteers@ Tennessee VolunteersW 62-750
Nov 28UConn Huskies@ UConn HuskiesL 74-610
Nov 24UT Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosvs UT Rio Grande Valley VaquerosW 87-730
Nov 22Long Island University Sharksvs Long Island University SharksW 98-580
Nov 19Alabama Crimson Tidevs Alabama Crimson TideL 86-90
2
Nov 14Colgate Raidersvs Colgate RaidersW 84-65
1
Nov 11Texas Tech Red Raidersvs Texas Tech Red RaidersW 81-770
Nov 7Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesvs Florida Gulf Coast EaglesW 113-700
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
20 pts allowed during 2 droughts (23.8% of 14-pt margin)
Significant Factor
13 pts allowed during 2 droughts (14.4% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor
13 pts allowed during 2 droughts (15.7% of 3-pt margin)
Significant Factor
12 pts allowed during 1 drought (13.2% of 3-pt margin)
Significant Factor
8 pts allowed during 1 drought (9.4% of 3-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Illinois Fighting Illini scoring droughts this season.
1
KB
Kylan Boswell
25% clutch
4
2
BH
Ben Humrichous
75% clutch
4
3
KW
Keaton Wagler
50% clutch
4
4
DM
David Mirkovic
2
5
ZI
Zvonimir Ivisic
2
6
AS
Andrej Stojakovic
2
7
JD
Jake Davis
2
3PT
2PT
FT