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Illinois Fighting Illini

Illinois Fighting Illini

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2025-26 Drought Profile · 18 games played · 27-9 (75%)

Illinois Fighting Illini ranks 2nd of 18 Big Ten teams in droughts per game (1.44 dpg, below the Big Ten average of 1.79). Their droughts average 3:43 — 0:10 below the Big Ten norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 6.6 pts per drought, contributing to 5 influenced losses this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.44

Conf avg: 1.8 · #2 of 18 in Big Ten

2nd in Big Ten

-0.35/game vs Big Ten avg

#2 in Big Ten (18 teams)

Avg Duration

3:43

Conf avg: 231.9 · #3 of 18 in Big Ten

-0:10 vs Big Ten avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

6.6

Conf avg: 7.2 · #4 of 18 in Big Ten

-0.6 pts vs Big Ten avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

5

0 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

4%

Coach called a timeout in 1 of 26 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

4-3

vs 23-6 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.4 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 26 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
19
droughts · avg 3:52
2nd Half
7
droughts · avg 3:18
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
20
77% of droughts
6.2 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
5
19% of droughts
7.6 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
1
4% of droughts
10 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6.2 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
7.6 pts
Critical (5+ min)
10 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 61% more points than notable ones (10 vs 6.2 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(42%)2-PT(35%)FT(23%)
3-Ptr (11, 42%)2-Ptr (9, 35%)FT (6, 23%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Apr 4
UConn Huskies@ UConn Huskies
L 62–71
Mar 28
Iowa Hawkeyesvs Iowa Hawkeyes
W 71–59
Mar 26
Houston Cougars@ Houston Cougars
W 65–55
Mar 21
VCU Ramsvs VCU Rams
W 76–55
Mar 19
Pennsylvania Quakersvs Pennsylvania Quakers
W 105–70
Mar 13
Wisconsin Badgersvs Wisconsin Badgers
L 88–91
Mar 8
Maryland Terrapins@ Maryland Terrapins
W 78–72
Mar 3
Oregon Ducksvs Oregon Ducks
W 80–54
Feb 27
Michigan Wolverinesvs Michigan Wolverines
L 70–84
Feb 21
UCLA Bruins@ UCLA Bruins
L 94–95
Feb 18
USC Trojans@ USC Trojans
W 101–65
Feb 15
Indiana Hoosiersvs Indiana Hoosiers
W 71–51
Feb 10
Wisconsin Badgersvs Wisconsin Badgers
L 90–92
Feb 7
Michigan State Spartans@ Michigan State Spartans
L 82–85
Feb 4
Northwestern Wildcatsvs Northwestern Wildcats
W 84–44
Feb 1
Nebraska Cornhuskers@ Nebraska Cornhuskers
W 78–69
Jan 29
Washington Huskiesvs Washington Huskies
W 75–66
Jan 24
Purdue Boilermakers@ Purdue Boilermakers
W 88–82
Jan 21
Maryland Terrapinsvs Maryland Terrapins
W 89–70
Jan 17
Minnesota Golden Gophersvs Minnesota Golden Gophers
W 77–67
Jan 14
Northwestern Wildcats@ Northwestern Wildcats
W 79–68
Jan 11
Iowa Hawkeyes@ Iowa Hawkeyes
W 75–69
Jan 8
Rutgers Scarlet Knightsvs Rutgers Scarlet Knights
W 81–55
Jan 3
Penn State Nittany Lions@ Penn State Nittany Lions
W 73–65
Dec 29
Southern Jaguarsvs Southern Jaguars
W 90–55
Dec 22
Missouri Tigersvs Missouri Tigers
W 91–48
Dec 13
Nebraska Cornhuskersvs Nebraska Cornhuskers
L 80–83
Dec 9
Ohio State Buckeyes@ Ohio State Buckeyes
W 88–80
Dec 6
Tennessee Volunteers@ Tennessee Volunteers
W 75–62
Nov 28
UConn Huskies@ UConn Huskies
L 61–74
Nov 24
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosvs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
W 87–73
Nov 22
Long Island University Sharksvs Long Island University Sharks
W 98–58
Nov 19
Alabama Crimson Tidevs Alabama Crimson Tide
L 86–90
Nov 14
Colgate Raidersvs Colgate Raiders
W 84–65
Nov 11
Texas Tech Red Raidersvs Texas Tech Red Raiders
W 81–77
Nov 7
Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesvs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
W 113–70
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Apr 4UConn Huskies@ UConn HuskiesL 71-62
1
Mar 28Iowa Hawkeyesvs Iowa HawkeyesW 71-590
Mar 26Houston Cougars@ Houston CougarsW 55-65
3
Mar 21VCU Ramsvs VCU RamsW 76-55
1
Mar 19Pennsylvania Quakersvs Pennsylvania QuakersW 105-70
1
Mar 13Wisconsin Badgersvs Wisconsin BadgersL 88-91
1
Mar 8Maryland Terrapins@ Maryland TerrapinsW 72-780
Mar 3Oregon Ducksvs Oregon DucksW 80-54
1
Feb 27Michigan Wolverinesvs Michigan WolverinesL 70-84
2
Feb 21UCLA Bruins@ UCLA BruinsL 95-940
Feb 18USC Trojans@ USC TrojansW 65-1010
Feb 15Indiana Hoosiersvs Indiana HoosiersW 71-510
Feb 10Wisconsin Badgersvs Wisconsin BadgersL 90-920
Feb 7Michigan State Spartans@ Michigan State SpartansL 85-82
1
Feb 4Northwestern Wildcatsvs Northwestern WildcatsW 84-440
Feb 1Nebraska Cornhuskers@ Nebraska CornhuskersW 69-780
Jan 29Washington Huskiesvs Washington HuskiesW 75-660
Jan 24Purdue Boilermakers@ Purdue BoilermakersW 82-88
1
Jan 21Maryland Terrapinsvs Maryland TerrapinsW 89-70
1
Jan 17Minnesota Golden Gophersvs Minnesota Golden GophersW 77-67
2
Jan 14Northwestern Wildcats@ Northwestern WildcatsW 68-79
2
Jan 11Iowa Hawkeyes@ Iowa HawkeyesW 69-75
1
Jan 8Rutgers Scarlet Knightsvs Rutgers Scarlet KnightsW 81-550
Jan 3Penn State Nittany Lions@ Penn State Nittany LionsW 65-73
2
Dec 29Southern Jaguarsvs Southern JaguarsW 90-55
1
Dec 22Missouri Tigersvs Missouri TigersW 91-480
Dec 13Nebraska Cornhuskersvs Nebraska CornhuskersL 80-83
2
Dec 9Ohio State Buckeyes@ Ohio State BuckeyesW 80-880
Dec 6Tennessee Volunteers@ Tennessee VolunteersW 62-750
Nov 28UConn Huskies@ UConn HuskiesL 74-610
Nov 24UT Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosvs UT Rio Grande Valley VaquerosW 87-730
Nov 22Long Island University Sharksvs Long Island University SharksW 98-580
Nov 19Alabama Crimson Tidevs Alabama Crimson TideL 86-90
2
Nov 14Colgate Raidersvs Colgate RaidersW 84-65
1
Nov 11Texas Tech Red Raidersvs Texas Tech Red RaidersW 81-770
Nov 7Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesvs Florida Gulf Coast EaglesW 113-700
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
Michigan Wolverinesvs Michigan WolverinesL 70-84Feb 27
20 pts allowed during 2 droughts (23.8% of 14-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Alabama Crimson Tidevs Alabama Crimson TideL 86-90Nov 19
13 pts allowed during 2 droughts (14.4% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Nebraska Cornhuskersvs Nebraska CornhuskersL 80-83Dec 13
13 pts allowed during 2 droughts (15.7% of 3-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Wisconsin Badgersvs Wisconsin BadgersL 88-91Mar 13
12 pts allowed during 1 drought (13.2% of 3-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Michigan State Spartans@ Michigan State SpartansL 82-85Feb 7
8 pts allowed during 1 drought (9.4% of 3-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Illinois Fighting Illini scoring droughts this season.
1
KW
Keaton Wagler
57% clutchⓘ
7
2
KB
Kylan Boswell
40% clutchⓘ
5
3
BH
Ben Humrichous
75% clutchⓘ
4
4
DM
David Mirkovic
100% clutchⓘ
3
5
ZI
Zvonimir Ivisic
33% clutchⓘ
3
6
AS
Andrej Stojakovic
2
7
JD
Jake Davis
2
3PT
2PT
FT