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Wednesday, January 14, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Northwestern Wildcats

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:43

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~3→2

-1

Pts ceded

~18→14

-4

Illinois Fighting Illini

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:43

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 6 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~6→14

+8

Northwestern Wildcats averages 2 droughts/game  · Illinois Fighting Illini forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Northwestern Wildcats droughts

2

Illinois Fighting Illini droughts

4:12

Longest drought

Northwestern Wildcats

28

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Illinois Fighting Illini drought cost

2 droughts • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Northwestern Wildcats drought cost

2 droughts • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Northwestern Wildcats

Northwestern Wildcats

2
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 47 → 49 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Jayden Reid makes 18-foot jumper

2-Pointer

4:12

9.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 17 → 20 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Arrinten Page makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jake West assists)

3-Pointer

3:34

5.0 pts

Illinois Fighting Illini

Illinois Fighting Illini

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 6 → 9 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Ben Humrichous makes 25-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

3:37

9.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 53 → 56 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Jake Davis makes 24-foot three point jumper (Kylan Boswell assists)

3-Pointer

3:29

5.0 pts