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Saturday, March 21, 2026

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Illinois Fighting Illini

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:43

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 6 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~6→10

+4

VCU Rams

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:37

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→5

+3

Pts ceded

~15→46

+31

Illinois Fighting Illini averages 1 droughts/game  · VCU Rams forces 1 opp. droughts/game

6

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Illinois Fighting Illini droughts

5

VCU Rams droughts

5:06

Longest drought

Illinois Fighting Illini

56

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Illinois Fighting Illini drought cost

1 drought • 10 pts drought cost

10

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

VCU Rams drought cost

5 droughts • 46 pts drought cost

46

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Illinois Fighting Illini

Illinois Fighting Illini

1
1st Halfcritical

Score: 23 → 24 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Kylan Boswell makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

5:06

10.0 pts

VCU Rams

VCU Rams

5
1H → 2Hsignificant

Score: 28 → 30 · Opponent scored 15 pts

Ended by: Barry Evans makes 7-foot hook shot

2-Pointer

4:46

15.0 pts

2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 32 → 34 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Terrence Hill Jr. makes layup (Barry Evans assists)

2-Pointer

4:39

7.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2 → 5 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Terrence Hill Jr. makes 23-foot three point step back jumpshot (Brandon Jennings assists)

3-Pointer

3:27

9.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 37 → 40 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Jadrian Tracey makes 24-foot three point jumper (Brandon Jennings assists)

3-Pointer

3:19

9.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 5 → 8 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Barry Evans makes 25-foot three point jumper (Terrence Hill Jr. assists)

3-Pointer

3:09

6.0 pts