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Saturday, February 7, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Michigan State Spartans

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:53

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Much better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~14→7

-7

Illinois Fighting Illini

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:43

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 6 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~6→8

+2

Michigan State Spartans averages 1 droughts/game  · Illinois Fighting Illini forces 2 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Michigan State Spartans droughts

1

Illinois Fighting Illini droughts

3:12

Longest drought

Michigan State Spartans

15

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Illinois Fighting Illini drought cost

1 drought • 8 pts drought cost

8

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Michigan State Spartans drought cost

1 drought • 7 pts drought cost

7

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State Spartans

1
1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 35 → 37 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Kur Teng makes 12-foot jumper (Jeremy Fears Jr. assists)

2-Pointer

3:12

7.0 pts

Illinois Fighting Illini

Illinois Fighting Illini

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 47 → 48 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Keaton Wagler makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:06

8.0 pts