Home

Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Illinois Fighting Illini

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:43

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 5 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~5→5

+0

Oregon Ducks

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:48

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 19 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~3→2

-1

Pts ceded

~19→36

+17

Illinois Fighting Illini averages 1 droughts/game  · Oregon Ducks forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Illinois Fighting Illini droughts

2

Oregon Ducks droughts

6:25

Longest drought

Oregon Ducks

41

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Illinois Fighting Illini drought cost

1 drought • 5 pts drought cost

5

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Oregon Ducks drought cost

2 droughts • 36 pts drought cost

36

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Illinois Fighting Illini

Illinois Fighting Illini

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 33 → 36 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Ben Humrichous makes 25-foot three point jumper (Keaton Wagler assists)

3-Pointer

3:16

5.0 pts

Oregon Ducks

Oregon Ducks

2
1st Halfcritical

Score: 9 → 11 · Opponent scored 21 pts

Ended by: Nate Bittle makes layup (Dezdrick Lindsay assists)

2-Pointer

6:25

21.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 37 → 38 · Opponent scored 15 pts

Ended by: Kwame Evans Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:53

15.0 pts